AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has a slight edge over EVCM overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

EVCM

EverCommerce Inc.

58
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

EVCM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EVCM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

EVCM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

EVCM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x63x95x127x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x63x95x127x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$6.98—
Current44x$6.98—
Cheap48x$7.66+9.7%
Fair53x$8.48+22%
Expensive104x$16.61+138%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EVCM has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

EVCM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect EVCM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails EVCM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EVCM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$11.31
Downside-38%$4.32

Calculated from the latest close: $6.98 on Nov 12.

EVCM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

EVCM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.22Q2 2024: $-0.24Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.66
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.22Q2 2024: $-0.24Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.66+314%
Q3 2026$0.16+$0.16
Q2 2026$0.19+$0.30
Q1 2026$0.18+$0.35
Q4 2025$0.10+$0.32
Q3 2025$0.00+$0.29
Q2 2025-$0.11+$0.13
Q1 2025-$0.17+$0.05
Q4 2024-$0.22+$0.02

EVCM has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over EVCM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EVCM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $169MQ1 2024: $170MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $176MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: $142MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $147MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $151M
Q4 2023: $169MQ1 2024: $170MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $176MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: $142MQ2 2025: $148MQ3 2025: $147MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $151M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$151.4M+2.7%
Q2 2026$152M+2.7%
Q1 2026$147.5M+3.6%
Q4 2025$151.2M-14%
Q3 2025$147.5M-16%
Q2 2025$148M-17%
Q1 2025$142.3M-16%
Q4 2024$175M+3.3%

EVCM's revenue has held roughly level: $151M last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

EVCM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.7M+3.7%
Q2 2026$27.9M+5.4%
Q1 2026$23.7M-21%
Q4 2025$21M-56%
Q3 2025$31.6M+15%
Q2 2025$26.5M+14%
Q1 2025$30.2M+134%
Q4 2024$48.2M+37%

EVCM has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

EVCM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 189MQ1 2024: 187MQ2 2024: 185MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 185MQ1 2025: 185MQ2 2025: 184MQ3 2025: 184MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 180MQ2 2026: 179MQ3 2026: 177M
Q4 2023: 189MQ1 2024: 187MQ2 2024: 185MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 185MQ1 2025: 185MQ2 2025: 184MQ3 2025: 184MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 180MQ2 2026: 179MQ3 2026: 177M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.7M shares
1 year-3.6%-6.6M shares
3 years-6.2%-11.7M shares
5 years+305%+133M shares
Available history-7.9%-15.2M shares

EVCM has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over EVCM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EVCM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.2xElevated
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20244.4xHigh

EVCM's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

EVCM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.8Neutral
Stochastic32.6Neutral

EVCM's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL has the edge over EVCM on valuation relative to its sector.

EVCM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEVCMSector medianRelative
PE44x28x57% above
PE %114332 pts below

EVCM is trading at 44x earnings, a 57% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over EVCM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

EVCM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.6419% below
20 week MA$9.3625% below
50 week MA$10.433% below
100 week MA$10.433% below
200 week MA$10.433% below

EVCM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over EVCM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

EVCM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$17.2$16.8-2.7%
2022$16.8$6.68-60%
2023$6.68$11.0+65%
2024$11.0$11.2+1.1%
2025$11.2$12.0+7.8%
2026 YTD$12.0$6.98-42%

EVCM is down 42% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in three of the previous five years.

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