AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over CRNC overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

CRNC

Cerence Inc.

44
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

CRNC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CRNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

CRNC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

CRNC PE Valuation

CRNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

CRNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Decline
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect CRNC's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails CRNC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$13.18
Downside-38%$5.08

Calculated from the latest close: $8.16 on Nov 12.

CRNC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over CRNC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CRNC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.40Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-6.83Q2 2024: $-13.92Q3 2024: $-14.12Q4 2024: $-15.22Q1 2025: $-8.10Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.40Q2 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.82
Q3 2023: $-1.40Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-6.83Q2 2024: $-13.92Q3 2024: $-14.12Q4 2024: $-15.22Q1 2025: $-8.10Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.40Q2 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82—
Q2 2026-$0.31+$0.35
Q1 2026-$0.40+$7.70
Q4 2025$0.02+$15.24
Q3 2025-$0.43+$13.69
Q2 2025-$0.66+$13.26
Q1 2025-$8.10-$1.27
Q4 2024-$15.22-$14.40
Q3 2024-$14.12-$12.72

CRNC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $15.22 at its worst in late 2024.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over CRNC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRNC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $70M
Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$69.6M+12%
Q1 2026$64.2M-18%
Q4 2025$115.1M+126%
Q3 2025$60.6M+11%
Q2 2025$62.2M-12%
Q1 2025$78M+15%
Q4 2024$50.9M-63%
Q3 2024$54.8M-32%

CRNC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $70M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

CRNC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $10MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$801,000Q2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $20M
Q3 2023: $10MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$801,000Q2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$19.6M+22%
Q1 2026$13.6M+3.8%
Q4 2025$35.6M+352%
Q3 2025$9.7M+109%
Q2 2025$16.1M+33%
Q1 2025$13.1M+$13.9M
Q4 2024$7.9M+$11.6M
Q3 2024$4.7M-52%

CRNC has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over CRNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRNC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48M
Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.8%+845K shares
1 year+10%+4.5M shares
3 years+18%+7.4M shares
5 years+21%+8.4M shares
Available history+31%+11.4M shares

CRNC has 48M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago, despite $8M in buybacks over the past year.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CRNC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20190.0xVery low

CRNC has more cash than debt.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

CRNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic31.1Neutral

CRNC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CRNC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRNCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CRNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over CRNC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CRNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.271.3% below
20 week MA$8.625.3% below
50 week MA$9.2812% below
100 week MA$9.8717% below
200 week MA$12.937% below

CRNC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over CRNC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CRNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$105.1+401%
2021$105.1$78.9-25%
2022$78.9$18.6-76%
2023$18.6$19.7+5.9%
2024$19.7$8.49-57%
2025$8.49$11.1+30%
2026 YTD$11.1$8.16-26%

CRNC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +401% in 2020 to −76% in 2022. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

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