AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over CAN overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

CAN

Canaan Inc.

43
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

CAN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

CAN's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

CAN PE Valuation

CAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

CAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CAN's losses to grow, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails CAN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$0.29
Downside-44%$0.09

Calculated from the latest close: $0.16 on Nov 12.

CAN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over CAN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CAN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.16Q4 2023: $-2.39Q1 2024: $-2.05Q2 2024: $-1.55Q3 2024: $-1.35Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.89Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.48Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.45
Q3 2023: $-2.16Q4 2023: $-2.39Q1 2024: $-2.05Q2 2024: $-1.55Q3 2024: $-1.35Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-1.01Q2 2025: $-0.89Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.48Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.45+$0.44
Q1 2026-$0.34+$0.67
Q4 2025-$0.48+$0.42
Q3 2025-$0.67+$0.68
Q2 2025-$0.89+$0.66
Q1 2025-$1.01+$1.04
Q4 2024-$0.90+$1.49
Q3 2024-$1.35+$0.81

CAN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.45 per share over the past year, against $2.39 at its worst in late 2023.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33MQ4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $74MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $100MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $196MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $32M
Q3 2023: $33MQ4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $74MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $100MQ3 2025: $151MQ4 2025: $196MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $32M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$31.9M-68%
Q1 2026$62.7M-24%
Q4 2025$196.3M+121%
Q3 2025$150.7M+105%
Q2 2025$100.2M+39%
Q1 2025$82.8M+136%
Q4 2024$88.8M+81%
Q3 2024$73.6M+121%

CAN's revenue is growing: $32M last quarter, down 68% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over CAN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: −$40MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: −$61MQ4 2024: −$326MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: −$40MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: −$61MQ4 2024: −$326MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$325.8M
Q3 2025$0+$60.8M
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$325.8M-$286M
Q3 2024-$60.8M-$60.8M

CAN's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$387M the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over CAN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 171MQ4 2023: 180MQ1 2024: 248MQ2 2024: 275MQ3 2024: 278MQ4 2024: 286MQ1 2025: 321MQ2 2025: 400MQ3 2025: 519MQ4 2025: 634MQ1 2026: 691MQ2 2026: 723M
Q3 2023: 171MQ4 2023: 180MQ1 2024: 248MQ2 2024: 275MQ3 2024: 278MQ4 2024: 286MQ1 2025: 321MQ2 2025: 400MQ3 2025: 519MQ4 2025: 634MQ1 2026: 691MQ2 2026: 723M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.6%+31.7M shares
1 year+81%+323M shares
3 years+326%+554M shares
5 years+314%+548M shares
Available history+396%+577M shares

CAN has 723M diluted shares, up 81% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CAN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2022-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2022-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2021-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2021-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2021-54.8xNet Cash

CAN has more cash than debt.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

CAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.6Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

CAN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CAN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCANSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over CAN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.2536% below
20 week MA$0.2843% below
50 week MA$0.4464% below
100 week MA$0.7879% below
200 week MA$1.3188% below

CAN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 88% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over CAN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.63$3.73-34%
2021$3.73$5.45+46%
2022$5.45$2.08-62%
2023$2.08$2.31+11%
2024$2.31$2.23-3.5%
2025$2.23$0.76-66%
2026 YTD$0.76$0.16-79%

CAN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 79% so far in 2026.

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