AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over BDC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BDC

Belden Inc.

52
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

BDC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Weak

BDC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

BDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$102—
Cheap15x$65.72-36%
Fair21x$94.82-7.2%
Current23x$102—
Expensive28x$123+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BDC has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

BDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

BDC has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BDC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$124.73
Downside-24%$78.12

Calculated from the latest close: $102.21 on Nov 12.

BDC trails AAPL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over BDC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.66Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $4.70Q3 2024: $4.30Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $5.17Q2 2025: $5.51Q3 2025: $5.62Q4 2025: $5.91Q1 2026: $5.94Q2 2026: $6.15Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $9.58
Q4 2023: $5.66Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $4.70Q3 2024: $4.30Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $5.17Q2 2025: $5.51Q3 2025: $5.62Q4 2025: $5.91Q1 2026: $5.94Q2 2026: $6.15Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $9.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.58+115%
Q3 2026$4.45-21%
Q2 2026$6.15+12%
Q1 2026$5.94+15%
Q4 2025$5.91+23%
Q3 2025$5.62+31%
Q2 2025$5.51+17%
Q1 2025$5.17+1.2%
Q4 2024$4.80-15%

BDC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.45 over the past year, against $6.67 in mid-2023.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $551MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $604MQ3 2024: $655MQ4 2024: $666MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $672MQ3 2025: $698MQ4 2025: $720MQ1 2026: $696MQ2 2026: $750MQ3 2026: $966M
Q4 2023: $551MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $604MQ3 2024: $655MQ4 2024: $666MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $672MQ3 2025: $698MQ4 2025: $720MQ1 2026: $696MQ2 2026: $750MQ3 2026: $966M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$966M+38%
Q2 2026$750.2M+12%
Q1 2026$696.4M+11%
Q4 2025$720.1M+8.1%
Q3 2025$698.2M+6.6%
Q2 2025$672M+11%
Q1 2025$624.9M+17%
Q4 2024$666M+21%

BDC has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over BDC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $105MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: −$63MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: $105MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: −$63MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$81.8M+25%
Q2 2026$88.6M+56%
Q1 2026-$63.1M-$38.3M
Q4 2025$121.3M+4.2%
Q3 2025$65.3M-2.7%
Q2 2025$56.9M-6.7%
Q1 2025-$24.8M-$3.2M
Q4 2024$116.4M+11%

BDC generated $229M in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.9% from the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

BDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-203K shares
1 year-2.6%-1.1M shares
3 years-8.3%-3.5M shares
5 years-14%-6.3M shares
Available history-7.9%-3.3M shares

BDC has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL has the edge over BDC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BDC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.0xHealthy

BDC's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

BDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.0Oversold

BDC's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BDC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBDCSector medianRelative
PE23x28x18% below
PE %613526 pts above

BDC has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over BDC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$105.93.4% below
20 week MA$113.09.5% below
50 week MA$117.613% below
100 week MA$115.812% below
200 week MA$103.41.1% below

BDC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.1% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over BDC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.5$41.6-25%
2021$41.6$63.7+53%
2022$63.7$73.2+15%
2023$73.2$77.3+5.5%
2024$77.3$113.5+47%
2025$113.5$118.4+4.3%
2026 YTD$118.4$102.2-14%

BDC has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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