AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AMPL

Amplitude, Inc.

62
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

AMPL has a slight edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AMPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable

AMPL's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

AMPL PE Valuation

AMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

AMPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AMPL has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails AMPL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$29.33
Downside-40%$10.41

Calculated from the latest close: $17.33 on Nov 12.

AMPL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over AMPL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AMPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.77Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.66Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.67Q2 2026: $-0.75Q3 2026: $-0.76Forward: $0.15
Q4 2023: $-0.77Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.67Q3 2024: $-0.66Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.75Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.67Q2 2026: $-0.75Q3 2026: $-0.76Forward: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.15—
Q3 2026-$0.76+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.75$0.00
Q1 2026-$0.67+$0.08
Q4 2025-$0.67+$0.09
Q3 2025-$0.79-$0.13
Q2 2025-$0.75-$0.08
Q1 2025-$0.75-$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.76+$0.01

AMPL is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.76 per share over the past year, against $1.15 at its worst in late 2021.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $111M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $73MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $111M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$110.6M+25%
Q2 2026$100.9M+21%
Q1 2026$93.5M+17%
Q4 2025$91.4M+17%
Q3 2025$88.6M+18%
Q2 2025$83.3M+14%
Q1 2025$80M+10%
Q4 2024$78.1M+9.4%

AMPL has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

AMPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$405,000Q2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$405,000Q2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.6M+47%
Q2 2026$24.3M+25%
Q1 2026-$12M-$3.6M
Q4 2025$12.7M+425%
Q3 2025$4.5M-27%
Q2 2025$19.5M+126%
Q1 2025-$8.5M-$8.1M
Q4 2024$2.4M+18%

AMPL generated $32M in free cash flow over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

AMPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 124MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 126M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 123MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 124MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 131MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 126M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-3.4M shares
1 year-5.3%-7M shares
3 years+6.9%+8.1M shares
5 years+23%+23.5M shares
Available history+413%+101M shares

AMPL has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AMPL Net Leverage

AMPL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

AMPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.9Neutral
Stochastic83.5Overbought

AMPL's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AMPL PE vs Technology Sector

AMPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% above its 200-week average.

AMPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.99.3% above
20 week MA$13.132% above
50 week MA$10.171% above
100 week MA$10.663% above
200 week MA$10.762% above

AMPL has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 62% above its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.

AMPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$54.5$57.1+4.8%
2022$57.1$11.1-81%
2023$11.1$12.7+15%
2024$12.7$10.7-16%
2025$10.7$11.9+12%
2026 YTD$11.9$17.3+45%

AMPL has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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