AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AMBA
Ambarella, Inc.
AMBA has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AMBA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
AMBA's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
AMBA PE Valuation
AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
AMBA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AMBA has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL has the edge over AMBA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AMBA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.96 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.29 | +$0.82 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.61 | +$0.88 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.78 | +$1.06 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.88 | +$1.99 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.11 | +$2.22 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.49 | +$1.78 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.84 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.87 | -$0.85 |
AMBA is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.29 per share over the past year, against $4.33 at its worst in mid-2024.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over AMBA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AMBA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $108.1M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $100.4M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $100.9M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.5M | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $95.5M | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $85.9M | +58% |
| Q1 2025 | $84M | +63% |
| Q4 2024 | $82.7M | +63% |
AMBA has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -7.5% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | -18% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | -15% | +16 points |
| Q3 2025 | -23% | +34 points |
| Q2 2025 | -30% | +42 points |
| Q1 2025 | -30% | +51 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +52 points |
AMBA's operating margin was −7.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL has the edge over AMBA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AMBA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$7.1M | -612% |
| Q2 2026 | -$29.6M | -389% |
| Q1 2026 | $15M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $31.4M | +663% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M | -90% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.2M | +$26.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $21.2M | +$27.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M | -25% |
AMBA usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$7M, but it generated $10M over the past year.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over AMBA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
AMBA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.9% | +400K shares |
| 1 year | +3.4% | +1.5M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +4.3M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +7.6M shares |
| Available history | +32% | +10.7M shares |
AMBA has 44M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
AMBA has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AMBA Net Leverage
AMBA's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
AMBA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.2 | Oversold |
AMBA's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AMBA PE vs Technology Sector
AMBA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has the edge over AMBA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AMBA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $65.0 | 6% below |
| 20 week MA | $70.1 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $67.7 | 9.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $68.1 | 10% below |
| 200 week MA | $65.2 | 6.4% below |
AMBA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has the edge over AMBA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
AMBA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.9 | $92.6 | +55% |
| 2021 | $92.6 | $200.6 | +117% |
| 2022 | $200.6 | $81.2 | -60% |
| 2023 | $81.2 | $61.3 | -25% |
| 2024 | $61.3 | $73.5 | +20% |
| 2025 | $73.5 | $71.4 | -2.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $71.4 | $61.1 | -14% |
AMBA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +117% in 2021 to −60% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.