AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ALKT

Alkami Technology, Inc.

64
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

ALKT has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ALKT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ALKT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

ALKT PE Valuation

ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

ALKT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

ALKT has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails ALKT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALKT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$22.01
Downside-36%$8.96

Calculated from the latest close: $13.94 on Nov 12.

ALKT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over ALKT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ALKT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.42Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.03
Q4 2023: $-0.67Q1 2024: $-0.61Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.46Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.42Q3 2026: $-0.34Forward: $1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.03—
Q3 2026-$0.34+$0.08
Q2 2026-$0.42-$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.47-$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.46-$0.05
Q3 2025-$0.42+$0.06
Q2 2025-$0.37+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.37+$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.41+$0.26

ALKT is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.34 per share over the past year, against $0.67 at its worst in early 2023.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALKT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $126MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $86MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $126MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$134.9M+19%
Q2 2026$129.8M+16%
Q1 2026$126.1M+29%
Q4 2025$120.8M+35%
Q3 2025$113M+31%
Q2 2025$112.1M+36%
Q1 2025$97.8M+29%
Q4 2024$89.7M+26%

ALKT has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

ALKT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $645,000Q2 2024: $123,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $760,000Q3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: $645,000Q2 2024: $123,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: $760,000Q3 2025: $31MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4M-30%
Q2 2026$21.6M+2747%
Q1 2026-$5.2M+$962K
Q4 2025$16.2M+173%
Q3 2025$30.5M+186%
Q2 2025$760K+518%
Q1 2025-$6.1M-1053%
Q4 2024$6M+$11.5M

ALKT has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over ALKT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ALKT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 102MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-235K shares
1 year+2.2%+2.3M shares
3 years+13%+12M shares
5 years+42%+31.8M shares
Available history+28%+23.5M shares

ALKT has 107M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ALKT Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -14.7x
Q3 2026: -14.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-14.7xNet Cash

ALKT has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

ALKT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic12.8Oversold

ALKT's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ALKT PE vs Technology Sector

ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over ALKT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALKT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.90% above
20 week MA$17.118% below
50 week MA$17.721% below
100 week MA$22.638% below
200 week MA$22.939% below

ALKT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over ALKT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ALKT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$42.1$19.7-53%
2022$19.7$13.6-31%
2023$13.6$24.3+78%
2024$24.3$38.5+59%
2025$38.5$23.1-40%
2026 YTD$23.1$13.9-40%

ALKT has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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