AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has the edge over ALIT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ALIT

Alight, Inc.

37
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

ALIT offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ALIT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

ALIT's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

ALIT PE Valuation

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

AAPL has the edge over ALIT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ALIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ALIT's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails ALIT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALIT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+119%$27.46
Downside-55%$5.69

Calculated from the latest close: $12.52 on Nov 12.

ALIT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over ALIT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ALIT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.79—
Q3 2026-$38.51+$43.09
Q2 2026-$76.98-$32.98
Q1 2026-$117.20-$114.60
Q4 2025-$117.40-$111.60
Q3 2025-$81.60-$69.00
Q2 2025-$44.00-$32.20
Q1 2025-$2.60+$12.80
Q4 2024-$5.80+$8.20

ALIT lost $38.51 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL has the edge over ALIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALIT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$500M-6.2%
Q2 2026$511M-3.2%
Q1 2026$534M-2.6%
Q4 2025$653M-4%
Q3 2025$533M-4%
Q2 2025$528M-1.9%
Q1 2025$548M-2%
Q4 2024$680M-29%

ALIT's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $500M last quarter, down 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over ALIT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALIT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7M-86%
Q2 2026$48M-17%
Q1 2026$53M+20%
Q4 2025$99M+7.6%
Q3 2025$49M+$101M
Q2 2025$58M+115%
Q1 2025$44M-31%
Q4 2024$92M-9.8%

ALIT generated $207M in free cash flow over the past year, down 15% from the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has the edge over ALIT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ALIT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+70.7K shares
1 year+0.4%+92.9K shares
3 years+7.1%+1.8M shares
5 years+20%+4.5M shares
Available history+323%+20.2M shares

ALIT has 26M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ALIT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20257.5xHigh
Q4 20248.1xHigh
Q3 202415.6xHigh
Q2 202416.3xHigh
Q1 202412.5xHigh
Q4 202310.2xHigh
Q3 20237.0xHigh
Q2 20238.0xHigh

ALIT's net debt is about 7.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

ALIT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic33.2Neutral

ALIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ALIT PE vs Technology Sector

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over ALIT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALIT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.322% above
20 week MA$13.57.1% below
50 week MA$18.733% below
100 week MA$59.379% below
200 week MA$111.989% below

ALIT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 89% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over ALIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ALIT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$184.4$215.0+17%
2022$215.0$164.2-24%
2023$164.2$170.6+3.9%
2024$170.6$138.2-19%
2025$138.2$39.4-71%
2026 YTD$39.4$12.5-68%

ALIT has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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