AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ALAB
Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock
ALAB has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AAPL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ALAB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ALAB's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
AAPL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $230 | -35% |
| Fair | 31x | $279 | -21% |
| Expensive | 37x | $328 | -7.5% |
| Forward | 38x | $355 | — |
| Current | 40x | $355 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.
ALAB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 33x | $228 | — |
| Cheap | 72x | $182 | -20% |
| Current | 91x | $228 | — |
| Fair | 108x | $272 | +19% |
| Expensive | 172x | $431 | +89% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALAB has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AAPL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.
ALAB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
ALAB has the edge over AAPL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
AAPL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.28 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.98 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.71 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.26 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.46 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.59 | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.42 | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | -2% |
AAPL earned $8.98 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
ALAB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.88 | +174% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.51 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.02 | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.48 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.22 | +$1.86 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.20 | +$3.98 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.65 | +$3.40 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.31 | +$3.16 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.64 | -$0.43 |
ALAB has the edge over AAPL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $114.5B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $109.4B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $143.8B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.5B | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $94B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $95.4B | +5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $124.3B | +4% |
AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +0.7 points |
AAPL has the edge over ALAB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ALAB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $584.9M | +154% |
| Q2 2026 | $392.4M | +104% |
| Q1 2026 | $308.4M | +93% |
| Q4 2025 | $270.6M | +92% |
| Q3 2025 | $230.6M | +104% |
| Q2 2025 | $191.9M | +150% |
| Q1 2025 | $159.4M | +144% |
| Q4 2024 | $141.1M | +179% |
ALAB has the edge over AAPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 31% | +6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +25 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +32 points |
| Q2 2025 | 21% | +52 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.1% | +134 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1% | -18 points |
ALAB's operating margin was 31% last quarter, up 6.6 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2022.
AAPL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.9B | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.9B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.7B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.6B | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $26.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.4B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $27B | -28% |
AAPL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $136B over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
ALAB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $133.9M | +103% |
| Q2 2026 | $67.2M | -50% |
| Q1 2026 | $67M | +1023% |
| Q4 2025 | $76.6M | +216% |
| Q3 2025 | $65.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $133.3M | +328% |
| Q1 2025 | $6M | +2516% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.3M | +81% |
ALAB has the edge over AAPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAPL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.9% | -284M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -1.1B shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.1B shares |
| Available history | -17% | -3.1B shares |
AAPL has the edge over ALAB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $24.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $20.1B |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9B |
| Q4 2024 | $23.6B |
AAPL spent $86.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.8% from the year before.
ALAB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +737K shares |
| 1 year | +1.9% | +3.4M shares |
| 3 years | +21% | +31.6M shares |
ALAB has 184M diluted shares, up 1.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | $210,000 |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $118,000 |
| Q1 2023 | — |
AAPL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ALAB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
ALAB has the edge over AAPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AAPL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.0 | Overbought |
AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
ALAB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.4 | Oversold |
ALAB's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
AAPL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AAPL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 42% above |
| PE % | 96 | 35 | 61 pts above |
AAPL has the edge over ALAB on valuation relative to its sector.
ALAB PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ALAB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 91x | 28x | 226% above |
| PE % | 33 | 17 | 16 pts above |
ALAB is trading at 91x earnings, a 226% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAPL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $343.1 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $329.0 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $295.6 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $262.4 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $226.3 | 57% above |
AAPL has stronger trend alignment. AAPL is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus ALAB above 1 of 4.
ALAB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $284.7 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $306.9 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $241.4 | 5.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $182.7 | 25% above |
ALAB has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 25% above its 100-week average.
AAPL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.5 | $132.0 | +82% |
| 2021 | $132.0 | $176.3 | +34% |
| 2022 | $176.3 | $131.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $131.9 | $192.5 | +46% |
| 2024 | $192.5 | $255.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $255.6 | $273.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $273.4 | $354.9 | +30% |
AAPL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.
ALAB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $70.0 | $141.5 | +102% |
| 2025 | $141.5 | $167.3 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.3 | $227.8 | +36% |
ALAB has the edge over AAPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.