AAPL

Apple Inc.

59
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AAPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AISP

Airship AI Holdings, Inc.

71
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

AISP has the edge over AAPL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

AAPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

AAPL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AISP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Under pressure
Unavailable

AISP's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$230-35%
Fair31x$279-21%
Expensive37x$328-7.5%
Forward38x$355—
Current40x$355—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAPL's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 38x next year's earnings.

AISP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current1.8x$1.67—
Cheap3.4x$3.12+87%
Fair23x$21.19+1169%
Expensive28x$25.09+1402%
Forward56x$1.67—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AISP has the edge over AAPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AAPL, but weaker profitability.

AISP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect AISP to return to profit, with revenue growing.

AAPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$416.94
Downside-15%$301.30

Calculated from the latest close: $354.88 on Nov 12.

AAPL trails AISP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AISP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$3.49
Downside-44%$0.94

Calculated from the latest close: $1.67 on Nov 12.

AISP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
Q4 2023: $6.43Q1 2024: $6.44Q2 2024: $6.58Q3 2024: $6.08Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $8.26Q2 2026: $8.71Q3 2026: $8.98Forward: $9.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.28+3.3%
Q3 2026$8.98+20%
Q2 2026$8.71+32%
Q1 2026$8.26+29%
Q4 2025$7.90+25%
Q3 2025$7.46+23%
Q2 2025$6.59+0.2%
Q1 2025$6.42-0.3%
Q4 2024$6.30-2%

AAPL has the edge over AISP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AISP Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.26Q4 2024: $-2.34Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-1.66Q3 2025: $-1.68Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $0.13Q2 2026: $0.81Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $0.03
Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.26Q4 2024: $-2.34Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-1.66Q3 2025: $-1.68Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $0.13Q2 2026: $0.81Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $0.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.03-97%
Q3 2026$0.91+$2.59
Q2 2026$0.81+$2.47
Q1 2026$0.13+$0.46
Q4 2025$0.76+$3.10
Q3 2025-$1.68-746%
Q2 2025-$1.66-4250%
Q1 2023$0.39-7.1%

AISP has returned to profit: it earned $0.91 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AAPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
Q4 2023: $120BQ1 2024: $90.8BQ2 2024: $85.8BQ3 2024: $94.9BQ4 2024: $124BQ1 2025: $95.4BQ2 2025: $94BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $144BQ1 2026: $111BQ2 2026: $109BQ3 2026: $114B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114.5B+12%
Q2 2026$109.4B+16%
Q1 2026$111.2B+17%
Q4 2025$143.8B+16%
Q3 2025$102.5B+7.9%
Q2 2025$94B+9.6%
Q1 2025$95.4B+5.1%
Q4 2024$124.3B+4%

AAPL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $114B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AISP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.2M+429%
Q2 2026$4.1M+92%
Q1 2026$6.4M+15%
Q4 2025$6.5M+103%
Q3 2025$1.2M-59%
Q2 2025$2.1M-66%
Q1 2025$5.5M-48%
Q3 2024$2.9M+20%

AISP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $6M last quarter, up 429% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
Q4 2023: $37.5BQ1 2024: $20.7BQ2 2024: $26.7BQ3 2024: $23.9BQ4 2024: $27BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $24.4BQ3 2025: $26.5BQ4 2025: $51.6BQ1 2026: $26.7BQ2 2026: $31.9BQ3 2026: $25.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.9B-2.4%
Q2 2026$31.9B+31%
Q1 2026$26.7B+28%
Q4 2025$51.6B+91%
Q3 2025$26.5B+11%
Q2 2025$24.4B-8.6%
Q1 2025$20.9B+0.9%
Q4 2024$27B-28%

AAPL has the edge over AISP on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AISP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$251,417Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$583,602Q4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: $814,484Q2 2026: −$235,174Q3 2026: $383,857
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$251,417Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$583,602Q4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: $814,484Q2 2026: −$235,174Q3 2026: $383,857
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$383.9K+$967.5K
Q2 2026-$235.2K+$1.6M
Q1 2026$814.5K+$2.9M
Q4 2025-$3.5M-$1.4M
Q3 2025-$583.6K-$332.2K
Q2 2025-$1.8M+$630.8K
Q1 2025-$2.1M-$402.8K
Q4 2024-$2.1M+$141.3K

AISP has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$3M over the past year, against −$7M the year before.

AAPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
Q4 2023: 15.6BQ1 2024: 15.5BQ2 2024: 15.3BQ3 2024: 15.4BQ4 2024: 15.2BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 14.9BQ3 2025: 15BQ4 2025: 14.8BQ1 2026: 14.7BQ2 2026: 14.7BQ3 2026: 14.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5.6M shares
1 year-1.9%-284M shares
3 years-6.9%-1.1B shares
5 years-13%-2.1B shares
Available history-17%-3.1B shares

AAPL has 14.7B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $86.4B in buybacks over the past year.

AISP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+4.5M shares
1 year-7.3%-3.1M shares
3 years+239%+27.4M shares

AISP has the edge over AAPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

AAPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AISP Net Leverage

AAPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic85.0Overbought

AAPL's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

AISP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.3Neutral
Stochastic15.6Oversold

AISP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AAPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAAPLSector medianRelative
PE40x28x42% above
PE %963561 pts above

AAPL is trading at 40x earnings, a 42% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AISP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAISPSector medianRelative
PE1.8x28x93% below
PE %04242 pts below

AISP has the edge over AAPL on valuation relative to its sector.

AAPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$343.13.4% above
20 week MA$329.07.9% above
50 week MA$295.620% above
100 week MA$262.435% above
200 week MA$226.357% above

AAPL has the edge over AISP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AISP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.0117% below
20 week MA$2.0217% below
50 week MA$2.4732% below
100 week MA$3.6154% below
200 week MA$5.3169% below

AISP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 69% below its 200-week average.

AAPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.5$132.0+82%
2021$132.0$176.3+34%
2022$176.3$131.9-25%
2023$131.9$192.5+46%
2024$192.5$255.6+33%
2025$255.6$273.4+7%
2026 YTD$273.4$354.9+30%

AAPL has the edge over AISP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

AISP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.75$9.78+0.3%
2022$9.78$10.1+3%
2023$10.1$1.70-83%
2024$1.70$5.61+230%
2025$5.61$2.83-50%
2026 YTD$2.83$1.67-41%

AISP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +230% in 2024 to −83% in 2023. It's down 41% so far in 2026.

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