AAP
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
AAP has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
AAP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
AAP's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 18x | $29.87 | -35% |
| Fair | 23x | $37.75 | -17% |
| Current | 28x | $45.64 | — |
| Expensive | 77x | $126 | +176% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAP's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAP Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for AAP to show an outlook.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.64 | +$7.94 |
| Q3 2026 | $1.37 | +$7.75 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.72 | +$6.60 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.73 | +$6.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.30 | -963% |
| Q2 2025 | -$6.38 | -63900% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.88 | -952% |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.61 | -858% |
AAP has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
AAP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | -1.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $2B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.6B | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2B | -1.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | -5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2B | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -19% |
AAP's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $2B last quarter, down 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2026 | 5% | +4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6% | +7.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2% | +43 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1% | -1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -41% | -39 points |
AAP has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over AAP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
AAP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$11M | +$65M |
| Q3 2026 | $195M | +$198M |
| Q2 2026 | -$75M | +$123M |
| Q4 2025 | -$21M | +$103.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$76M | -331% |
| Q2 2025 | -$3M | -107% |
| Q2 2025 | -$198M | -$151.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$124.4M | -161% |
AAP has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
AAP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | +1.5% | +900K shares |
| 3 years | +2.1% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | -3.9% | -2.4M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -10.3M shares |
AAP has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $2M |
| Q4 2024 | $900,000 |
| Q3 2024 | $984,000 |
| Q2 2024 | $1.3M |
| Q2 2024 | $3.3M |
| Q4 2023 | $281,000 |
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
AAP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2023 | 2.9x | Moderate |
AAP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.7 | Neutral |
AAP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
AAP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AAP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 18x | 54% above |
| PE % | 70 | 47 | 23 pts above |
AAP is trading at 28x earnings, a 54% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $43.8 | 4.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $48.3 | 5.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $50.7 | 9.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $49.4 | 7.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $61.4 | 26% below |
AAP has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
AAP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $158.4 | $160.7 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $160.7 | $232.1 | +44% |
| 2022 | $232.1 | $143.3 | -38% |
| 2023 | $143.3 | $61.0 | -57% |
| 2024 | $61.0 | $44.1 | -28% |
| 2025 | $44.1 | $41.3 | -6.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.3 | $45.6 | +11% |
AAP has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.