AAP

Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

58
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AAP has the edge over GME overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

AAP's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1278x2556x3834x5112x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1278x2556x3834x5112x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$29.87-35%
Fair23x$37.75-17%
Current28x$45.64—
Expensive77x$126+176%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAP's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME has the edge over AAP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAP Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AAP to show an outlook.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

AAP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$75.13
Downside-20%$36.51

Calculated from the latest close: $45.64 on Nov 12.

AAP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GME, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME trails AAP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AAP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.74Q2 2024: $0.69Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $-5.61Q2 2025: $-5.88Q3 2025: $-6.38Q4 2025: $-6.30Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $1.37Q4 2026: $1.64
Q4 2023: $0.74Q2 2024: $0.69Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $-5.61Q2 2025: $-5.88Q3 2025: $-6.38Q4 2025: $-6.30Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.72Q3 2026: $1.37Q4 2026: $1.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.64+$7.94
Q3 2026$1.37+$7.75
Q2 2026$0.72+$6.60
Q4 2025$0.73+$6.34
Q3 2025-$6.30-963%
Q2 2025-$6.38-63900%
Q2 2025-$5.88-952%
Q4 2024-$5.61-858%

AAP has returned to profit: it earned $1.64 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME has the edge over AAP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $2BQ4 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $2BQ4 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B-1.2%
Q3 2026$2B-0.5%
Q2 2026$2.6B+1.2%
Q4 2025$2B-1.2%
Q3 2025$2B-5.2%
Q2 2025$2B-25%
Q2 2025$2.6B-24%
Q4 2024$2B-19%

AAP's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $2B last quarter, down 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $203MQ2 2024: −$46MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $33MQ4 2024: −$124MQ2 2025: −$198MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$76MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: $195MQ4 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $203MQ2 2024: −$46MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: $33MQ4 2024: −$124MQ2 2025: −$198MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$76MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: $195MQ4 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11M+$65M
Q3 2026$195M+$198M
Q2 2026-$75M+$123M
Q4 2025-$21M+$103.4M
Q3 2025-$76M-331%
Q2 2025-$3M-107%
Q2 2025-$198M-$151.7M
Q4 2024-$124.4M-161%

AAP's free cash flow has turned positive again: $88M over the past year, against −$401M the year before.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over AAP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61MQ4 2026: 61M
Q4 2023: 60MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61MQ4 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-100K shares
1 year+1.5%+900K shares
3 years+2.1%+1.3M shares
5 years-3.9%-2.4M shares
Available history-14%-10.3M shares

AAP has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

AAP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.5xQ4 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.5xQ4 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20243.3xElevated
Q2 20243.5xElevated
Q2 20243.1xElevated
Q4 20232.9xModerate

AAP's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.

GME Net Leverage

AAP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

AAP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

AAP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAAPSector medianRelative
PE28x18x54% above
PE %704723 pts above

AAP is trading at 28x earnings, a 54% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME has the edge over AAP on valuation relative to its sector.

AAP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$43.84.2% above
20 week MA$48.35.5% below
50 week MA$50.79.9% below
100 week MA$49.47.5% below
200 week MA$61.426% below

AAP has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 26% below its 200-week average.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME has the edge over AAP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$158.4$160.7+1.5%
2021$160.7$232.1+44%
2022$232.1$143.3-38%
2023$143.3$61.0-57%
2024$61.0$44.1-28%
2025$44.1$41.3-6.4%
2026 YTD$41.3$45.6+11%

AAP has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 11% so far in 2026.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME has the edge over AAP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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