AAP
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
AAP has a slight edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
AAP's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
AAP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 18x | $29.87 | -35% |
| Fair | 23x | $37.75 | -17% |
| Current | 28x | $45.64 | — |
| Expensive | 77x | $126 | +176% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAP has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
AAP Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for AAP to show an outlook.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
AAP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.64 | +$7.94 |
| Q3 2026 | $1.37 | +$7.75 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.72 | +$6.60 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.73 | +$6.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.30 | -963% |
| Q2 2025 | -$6.38 | -63900% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.88 | -952% |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.61 | -858% |
AAP has returned to profit: it earned $1.64 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over AAP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | -1.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $2B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.6B | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $2B | -1.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | -5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2B | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -19% |
AAP's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $2B last quarter, down 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2026 | 5% | +4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6% | +7.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2% | +43 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1% | -1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -41% | -39 points |
AAP's operating margin was 2.3% last quarter, up 1.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over AAP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over AAP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$11M | +$65M |
| Q3 2026 | $195M | +$198M |
| Q2 2026 | -$75M | +$123M |
| Q4 2025 | -$21M | +$103.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$76M | -331% |
| Q2 2025 | -$3M | -107% |
| Q2 2025 | -$198M | -$151.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$124.4M | -161% |
AAP's free cash flow has turned positive again: $88M over the past year, against −$401M the year before.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over AAP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | +1.5% | +900K shares |
| 3 years | +2.1% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | -3.9% | -2.4M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -10.3M shares |
AAP has 61M diluted shares, up 1.5% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $2M |
| Q4 2024 | $900,000 |
| Q3 2024 | $984,000 |
| Q2 2024 | $1.3M |
| Q2 2024 | $3.3M |
| Q4 2023 | $281,000 |
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over AAP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
AAP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2023 | 2.9x | Moderate |
AAP has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
AAP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.7 | Neutral |
AAP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
AAP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | AAP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 18x | 54% above |
| PE % | 70 | 47 | 23 pts above |
AAP is trading at 28x earnings, a 54% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY has the edge over AAP on valuation relative to its sector.
AAP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $43.8 | 4.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $48.3 | 5.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $50.7 | 9.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $49.4 | 7.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $61.4 | 26% below |
AAP has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 26% below its 200-week average.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over AAP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $158.4 | $160.7 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $160.7 | $232.1 | +44% |
| 2022 | $232.1 | $143.3 | -38% |
| 2023 | $143.3 | $61.0 | -57% |
| 2024 | $61.0 | $44.1 | -28% |
| 2025 | $44.1 | $41.3 | -6.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.3 | $45.6 | +11% |
AAP has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 11% so far in 2026.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over AAP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.