AAON

AAON, Inc.

77
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

AAON has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AAON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

AAON's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x51x77x103x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x51x77x103x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$78.80—
Current32x$78.80—
Cheap40x$98.59+25%
Fair48x$117+48%
Expensive61x$148+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAON's PE is in its cheap range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AAON, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$174.99
Downside-14%$68.01

Calculated from the latest close: $78.80 on Nov 12.

AAON has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails AAON on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AAON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $2.14Q2 2024: $2.22Q3 2024: $2.27Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $1.91Q2 2025: $1.48Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.38Q2 2026: $1.99Q3 2026: $2.45Forward: $3.42
Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $2.14Q2 2024: $2.22Q3 2024: $2.27Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $1.91Q2 2025: $1.48Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.38Q2 2026: $1.99Q3 2026: $2.45Forward: $3.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.42+40%
Q3 2026$2.45+101%
Q2 2026$1.99+34%
Q1 2026$1.38-28%
Q4 2025$1.29-36%
Q3 2025$1.22-46%
Q2 2025$1.48-33%
Q1 2025$1.91-11%
Q4 2024$2.02-5.2%

AAON has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

AAON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $307MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $314MQ3 2024: $327MQ4 2024: $298MQ1 2025: $322MQ2 2025: $312MQ3 2025: $384MQ4 2025: $424MQ1 2026: $493MQ2 2026: $642MQ3 2026: $707M
Q4 2023: $307MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $314MQ3 2024: $327MQ4 2024: $298MQ1 2025: $322MQ2 2025: $312MQ3 2025: $384MQ4 2025: $424MQ1 2026: $493MQ2 2026: $642MQ3 2026: $707M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$707.4M+84%
Q2 2026$642.1M+106%
Q1 2026$492.5M+53%
Q4 2025$424.2M+42%
Q3 2025$384.2M+17%
Q2 2025$311.6M-0.6%
Q1 2025$322.1M+23%
Q4 2024$297.7M-2.9%

AAON's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $707M last quarter, up 84% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over AAON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $845,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $845,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$91.9M+650%
Q2 2026$21M+$42.8M
Q1 2026$34M+$43.2M
Q4 2025$19.3M+2186%
Q3 2025$12.3M-81%
Q2 2025-$21.8M-161%
Q1 2025-$9.2M-110%
Q4 2024$845K-98%

AAON has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

AAON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 84MQ2 2024: 84MQ3 2024: 83MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 83MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 84MQ2 2024: 84MQ3 2024: 83MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 83MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-163K shares
1 year+0.7%+606K shares
3 years+0.2%+165K shares
5 years+4%+3.2M shares
Available history+5.8%+4.6M shares

AAON has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

AAON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

AAON's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.9Neutral
Stochastic24.0Neutral

AAON's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

AAON PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAAONSector medianRelative
PE32x24x34% above
PE %45854 pts below

AAON is trading at 32x earnings, a 34% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.64.3% above
20 week MA$85.27.5% below
50 week MA$94.617% below
100 week MA$94.316% below
200 week MA$85.78.1% below

AAON has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 8.1% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over AAON on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.2$43.7+31%
2021$43.7$52.4+20%
2022$52.4$50.6-3.5%
2023$50.6$73.9+46%
2024$73.9$121.4+64%
2025$121.4$75.8-38%
2026 YTD$75.8$78.8+4%

AAON has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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