AAON
AAON, Inc.
AAON has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
AAON Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
AAON's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAON PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $78.80 | — |
| Current | 32x | $78.80 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $98.59 | +25% |
| Fair | 48x | $117 | +48% |
| Expensive | 61x | $148 | +88% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AAON's PE is in its cheap range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAON Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AAON, with profitability improving.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AAON Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.42 | +40% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.45 | +101% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.99 | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.38 | -28% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.29 | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.22 | -46% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.48 | -33% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.91 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.02 | -5.2% |
AAON has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
AAON Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $707.4M | +84% |
| Q2 2026 | $642.1M | +106% |
| Q1 2026 | $492.5M | +53% |
| Q4 2025 | $424.2M | +42% |
| Q3 2025 | $384.2M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $311.6M | -0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $322.1M | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $297.7M | -2.9% |
AAON has the edge over RDW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +5.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | +0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -8.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.6% | -14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.9% | -11 points |
AAON has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAON Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $91.9M | +650% |
| Q2 2026 | $21M | +$42.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $34M | +$43.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3M | +2186% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.3M | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | -$21.8M | -161% |
| Q1 2025 | -$9.2M | -110% |
| Q4 2024 | $845K | -98% |
AAON has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
AAON Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -163K shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +606K shares |
| 3 years | +0.2% | +165K shares |
| 5 years | +4% | +3.2M shares |
| Available history | +5.8% | +4.6M shares |
AAON has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $31.5M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $25M |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
AAON Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
AAON's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAON Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.0 | Neutral |
AAON's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AAON PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AAON | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32x | 24x | 34% above |
| PE % | 4 | 58 | 54 pts below |
AAON is trading at 32x earnings, a 34% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAON Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $75.6 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $85.2 | 7.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $94.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $94.3 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $85.7 | 8.1% below |
AAON has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
AAON Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.2 | $43.7 | +31% |
| 2021 | $43.7 | $52.4 | +20% |
| 2022 | $52.4 | $50.6 | -3.5% |
| 2023 | $50.6 | $73.9 | +46% |
| 2024 | $73.9 | $121.4 | +64% |
| 2025 | $121.4 | $75.8 | -38% |
| 2026 YTD | $75.8 | $78.8 | +4% |
AAON has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over AAON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.