AAON

AAON, Inc.

77
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

AAON has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AAON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

AAON's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

AAON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x51x77x103x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x51x77x103x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$78.80—
Current32x$78.80—
Cheap40x$98.59+25%
Fair48x$117+48%
Expensive61x$148+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAON's PE is in its cheap range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over AAON in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AAON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AAON, with profitability improving.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$174.99
Downside-14%$68.01

Calculated from the latest close: $78.80 on Nov 12.

AAON has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails AAON on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AAON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $2.14Q2 2024: $2.22Q3 2024: $2.27Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $1.91Q2 2025: $1.48Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.38Q2 2026: $1.99Q3 2026: $2.45Forward: $3.42
Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $2.14Q2 2024: $2.22Q3 2024: $2.27Q4 2024: $2.02Q1 2025: $1.91Q2 2025: $1.48Q3 2025: $1.22Q4 2025: $1.29Q1 2026: $1.38Q2 2026: $1.99Q3 2026: $2.45Forward: $3.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.42+40%
Q3 2026$2.45+101%
Q2 2026$1.99+34%
Q1 2026$1.38-28%
Q4 2025$1.29-36%
Q3 2025$1.22-46%
Q2 2025$1.48-33%
Q1 2025$1.91-11%
Q4 2024$2.02-5.2%

AAON earned $2.45 per share over the past year, up 101% from the year before.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over AAON on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $307MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $314MQ3 2024: $327MQ4 2024: $298MQ1 2025: $322MQ2 2025: $312MQ3 2025: $384MQ4 2025: $424MQ1 2026: $493MQ2 2026: $642MQ3 2026: $707M
Q4 2023: $307MQ1 2024: $262MQ2 2024: $314MQ3 2024: $327MQ4 2024: $298MQ1 2025: $322MQ2 2025: $312MQ3 2025: $384MQ4 2025: $424MQ1 2026: $493MQ2 2026: $642MQ3 2026: $707M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$707.4M+84%
Q2 2026$642.1M+106%
Q1 2026$492.5M+53%
Q4 2025$424.2M+42%
Q3 2025$384.2M+17%
Q2 2025$311.6M-0.6%
Q1 2025$322.1M+23%
Q4 2024$297.7M-2.9%

AAON's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $707M last quarter, up 84% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $845,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $845,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$22MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$91.9M+650%
Q2 2026$21M+$42.8M
Q1 2026$34M+$43.2M
Q4 2025$19.3M+2186%
Q3 2025$12.3M-81%
Q2 2025-$21.8M-161%
Q1 2025-$9.2M-110%
Q4 2024$845K-98%

AAON's free cash flow has turned positive again: $166M over the past year, against −$18M the year before.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over AAON on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 84MQ2 2024: 84MQ3 2024: 83MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 83MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 84MQ2 2024: 84MQ3 2024: 83MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 83MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-163K shares
1 year+0.7%+606K shares
3 years+0.2%+165K shares
5 years+4%+3.2M shares
Available history+5.8%+4.6M shares

AAON has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

AAON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

AAON has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

AAON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.9Neutral
Stochastic24.0Neutral

AAON's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

AAON PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAAONSector medianRelative
PE32x24x34% above
PE %45854 pts below

AAON is trading at 32x earnings, a 34% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over AAON on valuation relative to its sector.

AAON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.64.3% above
20 week MA$85.27.5% below
50 week MA$94.617% below
100 week MA$94.316% below
200 week MA$85.78.1% below

AAON has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

AAON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.2$43.7+31%
2021$43.7$52.4+20%
2022$52.4$50.6-3.5%
2023$50.6$73.9+46%
2024$73.9$121.4+64%
2025$121.4$75.8-38%
2026 YTD$75.8$78.8+4%

AAON has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

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