AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

YOU

Clear Secure, Inc.

75
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

YOU has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

YOU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

YOU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

YOU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x747x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE187x374x561x747x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$32.82-42%
Forward25x$56.79—
Fair32x$54.08-4.8%
Current33x$56.79—
Expensive50x$85.27+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

YOU's PE is in its fair range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

YOU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for YOU, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails YOU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

YOU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$88.48
Downside-18%$46.44

Calculated from the latest close: $56.79 on Nov 12.

YOU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

YOU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.86Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.48Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $2.31
Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.86Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.68Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.25Q2 2026: $1.48Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $2.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.31+35%
Q3 2026$1.71+1.8%
Q2 2026$1.48-9.8%
Q1 2026$1.25-24%
Q4 2025$1.12-29%
Q3 2025$1.68+95%
Q2 2025$1.64+110%
Q1 2025$1.64+169%
Q4 2024$1.58+394%

YOU has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over YOU on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

YOU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $229MQ4 2025: $241MQ1 2026: $253MQ2 2026: $278MQ3 2026: $293M
Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $229MQ4 2025: $241MQ1 2026: $253MQ2 2026: $278MQ3 2026: $293M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$292.9M+28%
Q2 2026$277.8M+27%
Q1 2026$253M+20%
Q4 2025$240.8M+17%
Q3 2025$229.2M+16%
Q2 2025$219.5M+18%
Q1 2025$211.4M+18%
Q4 2024$206.3M+21%

YOU's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $293M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

YOU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $110MQ3 2024: −$38MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $91MQ2 2025: $118MQ3 2025: −$53MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: −$104M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $110MQ3 2024: −$38MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $91MQ2 2025: $118MQ3 2025: −$53MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: −$104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$103.8M-$50.4M
Q2 2026$189M+60%
Q1 2026$185.5M+103%
Q4 2025$187.4M+40%
Q3 2025-$53.5M-$15.6M
Q2 2025$117.9M+7.2%
Q1 2025$91.3M+18%
Q4 2024$133.9M+49%

YOU has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

YOU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 95MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 131M
Q4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 94MQ3 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 95MQ3 2025: 98MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 131M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+28%+28.5M shares
1 year+34%+33.5M shares
3 years+44%+40.4M shares
5 years+79%+58M shares
Available history+79%+57.8M shares

YOU has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

YOU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

YOU has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

YOU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.1Neutral
Stochastic50.9Neutral

YOU's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

YOU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricYOUSector medianRelative
PE33x28x19% above
PE %554312 pts above

YOU is trading at 33x earnings, a 19% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

YOU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.622% above
20 week MA$47.719% above
50 week MA$46.323% above
100 week MA$37.551% above
200 week MA$30.487% above

YOU has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

YOU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$48.0$30.3-37%
2022$30.3$26.8-12%
2023$26.8$20.7-23%
2024$20.7$27.2+32%
2025$27.2$35.9+32%
2026 YTD$35.9$56.8+58%

YOU has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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