AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over YALA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
YALA
Yalla Group Limited
YALA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
YALA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
YALA's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
YALA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.7x | $5.13 | -6.3% |
| Current | 7.1x | $5.47 | — |
| Fair | 8.5x | $6.58 | +20% |
| Expensive | 10x | $7.90 | +44% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
YALA's PE is in its cheap range at 7.1x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
YALA Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for YALA to show an outlook.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
YALA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.77 | -3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.79 | +2.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.83 | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.81 | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.80 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.77 | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.74 | +16% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.73 | +30% |
YALA has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over YALA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
YALA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $82.6M | -2.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $79M | -5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $83.9M | -7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $89.6M | +0.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $84.6M | +4.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $83.9M | +6.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $90.8M | +12% |
| Q3 2024 | $88.9M | +4.4% |
YALA's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $83M last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 23% | -13 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | -7.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | -1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 36% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | +4.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 37% | -1.5 points |
YALA has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
YALA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
YALA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
YALA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -2.1M shares |
| 1 year | -3.2% | -5.7M shares |
| 3 years | -3.2% | -5.7M shares |
| 5 years | -4% | -7.4M shares |
| Available history | +136% | +101M shares |
YALA has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
YALA hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
YALA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
YALA has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
YALA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.4 | Neutral |
YALA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
YALA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | YALA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.1x | 28x | 75% below |
| PE % | 25 | 38 | 13 pts below |
YALA is trading at 7.1x earnings, a 75% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
YALA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.50 | 0.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $5.46 | 0.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $6.15 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.22 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.46 | 0.2% above |
YALA has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over YALA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
YALA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.70 | $17.0 | +154% |
| 2021 | $17.0 | $6.30 | -63% |
| 2022 | $6.30 | $3.56 | -43% |
| 2023 | $3.56 | $6.13 | +72% |
| 2024 | $6.13 | $4.14 | -32% |
| 2025 | $4.14 | $7.17 | +73% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.17 | $5.47 | -24% |
YALA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +154% in 2020 to −63% in 2021. It's down 24% so far in 2026.