AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over XRX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
XRX
Xerox Holdings Corporation
XRX has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
XRX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
XRX's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
XRX PE Valuation
XRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over XRX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
XRX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect XRX's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
XRX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$9.12 | -$1.28 |
| Q2 2026 | -$7.40 | +$4.14 |
| Q1 2026 | -$8.34 | +$2.22 |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.25 | +$2.50 |
| Q3 2025 | -$7.84 | +$3.09 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.54 | -$10.60 |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.56 | -$9.10 |
| Q4 2024 | -$10.75 | -$10.66 |
XRX is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $9.12 per share over the past year, against $11.54 at its worst in mid-2025.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over XRX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over XRX on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
XRX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.9B | -4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $2B | +26% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6B | -0.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | -3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | -8.6% |
XRX's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $1.9B last quarter, down 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -54% | -39 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +56 points |
| Q2 2025 | -3.8% | -5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.6% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3% | +4.7 points |
XRX's operating margin was −54% last quarter, down 39 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
XRX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17M | -84% |
| Q2 2026 | $23M | +$38M |
| Q1 2026 | -$156M | -$62M |
| Q4 2025 | $192M | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $104M | -3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | -$15M | -113% |
| Q1 2025 | -$94M | -$7M |
| Q4 2024 | $346M | -9.2% |
XRX has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
XRX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +750K shares |
| 1 year | +3.7% | +4.7M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -25.5M shares |
| 5 years | -27% | -47.8M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -102M shares |
XRX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $5M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $3M |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
XRX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 304.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 28.6x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 9.8x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 4.8x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 97.1x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 19.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2021 | 2.0x | Moderate |
XRX's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
XRX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 27.8 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 2.0 | Oversold |
XRX's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
XRX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | XRX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
XRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over XRX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
XRX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.21 | 55% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.70 | 63% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.48 | 60% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.87 | 74% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.05 | 89% below |
XRX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 89% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over XRX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
XRX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.3 | $22.6 | -39% |
| 2021 | $22.6 | $22.5 | -0.6% |
| 2022 | $22.5 | $14.6 | -35% |
| 2023 | $14.6 | $18.3 | +25% |
| 2024 | $18.3 | $9.15 | -50% |
| 2025 | $9.15 | $2.49 | -73% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.49 | $0.99 | -60% |
XRX has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 60% so far in 2026.