AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

XBP

XBP Global Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score XBP yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

XBP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

XBP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

XBP PE Valuation

XBP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XBP Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for XBP to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and XBP's risk to reward.

XBP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $3.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and XBP's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over XBP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XBP Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-5.00Q3 2024: $17.60Q4 2024: $-4.10Q1 2025: $-4.80Q2 2025: $-5.10Q3 2025: $-30.20Q4 2025: $-33.15Q1 2026: $-34.03Q2 2026: $-33.55
Q2 2024: $-5.00Q3 2024: $17.60Q4 2024: $-4.10Q1 2025: $-4.80Q2 2025: $-5.10Q3 2025: $-30.20Q4 2025: $-33.15Q1 2026: $-34.03Q2 2026: $-33.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$33.55-$28.45
Q1 2026-$34.03-$29.23
Q4 2025-$33.15-$29.05
Q3 2025-$30.20-272%
Q2 2025-$5.10-$0.10

XBP lost $33.55 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $270M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.

XBP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $207MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $191M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $207MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $191M

XBP and AAOI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

XBP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: โˆ’$4MQ2 2024: โˆ’$2MQ3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$4MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$6MQ2 2026: โˆ’$11M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: โˆ’$4MQ2 2024: โˆ’$2MQ3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$4MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$6MQ2 2026: โˆ’$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$11.5M-$7.5M
Q1 2026-$6.1M-$4.2M
Q4 2025$1.8M-68%
Q3 2025$10.5M+$16.7M
Q2 2025-$4M-$1.9M
Q1 2025-$1.9M+$2.1M

XBP has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over XBP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XBP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 554,000Q1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12M
Q3 2023: 554,000Q1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+14.5K shares
1 year+228%+8.2M shares
3 years+270%+8.6M shares

XBP has 12M diluted shares, up 228% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

XBP Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 8.3xQ2 2025: 9.0x
Q4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 8.3xQ2 2025: 9.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20259.0xHigh
Q1 20258.3xHigh
Q4 20243.7xElevated

XBP's net debt is about 9.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

XBP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic41.3Neutral

XBP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XBP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricXBPSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

XBP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

XBP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.020.7% below
20 week MA$2.961.4% above
50 week MA$4.1528% below
100 week MA$6.7956% below
200 week MA$37.292% below

XBP's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over XBP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XBP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$101.0$99.8-1.2%
2022$99.8$103.8+4%
2023$103.8$53.0-49%
2024$53.0$11.1-79%
2025$11.1$6.65-40%
2026 YTD$6.65$3.00-55%

XBP has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 55% so far in 2026.

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