AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over WRAP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
WRAP
Wrap Technologies, Inc.
WRAP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
WRAP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
WRAP's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
WRAP PE Valuation
WRAP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
WRAP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Stable | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect WRAP's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
WRAP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.28 | -$0.07 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.31 | -$0.15 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.22 | -$0.06 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.31 | +$0.11 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.21 | +$0.32 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.16 | +$0.47 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.16 | +$0.57 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.42 | -$0.04 |
WRAP is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.28 per share over the past year, against $0.73 at its worst in late 2023.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over WRAP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over WRAP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
WRAP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.1M | +103% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1M | +45% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4M | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5M | +151% |
| Q2 2025 | $1M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $765K | -48% |
| Q4 2024 | $865K | +47% |
| Q3 2024 | $593K | -84% |
WRAP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2M last quarter, up 103% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -110% | +173 points |
| Q1 2026 | -429% | +83 points |
| Q4 2025 | -281% | +255 points |
| Q3 2025 | -185% | +426 points |
| Q2 2025 | -282% | -81 points |
| Q1 2025 | -513% | -232 points |
| Q4 2024 | -536% | +590 points |
| Q3 2024 | -611% | -536 points |
WRAP's operating margin was −110% last quarter, up 173 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
WRAP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$2.4M | -$493K |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.3M | +$1.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.7M | -$1.5M |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.7M | -918% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.9M | +$1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.1M | +$667K |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.2M | +$2.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $330K | +$12.5M |
WRAP has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
WRAP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.2% | +1.7M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +5.1M shares |
| 3 years | +34% | +14M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +17.6M shares |
| Available history | +88% | +26.1M shares |
WRAP has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
WRAP Net Leverage
WRAP's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
WRAP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.3 | Oversold |
WRAP's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WRAP PE vs Technology Sector
WRAP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over WRAP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
WRAP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.31 | 5.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.58 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.71 | 27% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.79 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $1.89 | 34% below |
WRAP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over WRAP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
WRAP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.40 | $5.70 | -11% |
| 2021 | $5.70 | $4.40 | -23% |
| 2022 | $4.40 | $1.78 | -60% |
| 2023 | $1.78 | $3.10 | +74% |
| 2024 | $3.10 | $1.81 | -42% |
| 2025 | $1.81 | $2.17 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.17 | $1.24 | -43% |
WRAP has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 43% so far in 2026.