AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

WOLF

Wolfspeed, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score WOLF yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WOLF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

WOLF's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

WOLF PE Valuation

WOLF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WOLF Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WOLF to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and WOLF's risk to reward.

WOLF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $26.51 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and WOLF's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over WOLF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WOLF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.02Q1 2024: $-6.40Q2 2024: $-6.88Q3 2024: $-5.95Q4 2024: $-7.68Q1 2025: $-8.36Q2 2025: $-11.39Q3 2025: $-13.28Q4 2025: $-16.18Q1 2026: $-17.37Q2 2026: $-15.76Q3 2026: $-14.25
Q4 2023: $-6.02Q1 2024: $-6.40Q2 2024: $-6.88Q3 2024: $-5.95Q4 2024: $-7.68Q1 2025: $-8.36Q2 2025: $-11.39Q3 2025: $-13.28Q4 2025: $-16.18Q1 2026: $-17.37Q2 2026: $-15.76Q3 2026: $-14.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$14.25-$0.97
Q2 2026-$15.76-$4.37
Q1 2026-$17.37-$9.01
Q4 2025-$16.18-$8.50
Q3 2025-$13.28-$7.33
Q2 2025-$11.39-$4.51
Q1 2025-$8.36-$1.96
Q4 2024-$7.68-$1.66

WOLF lost $14.25 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over WOLF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WOLF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $208MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $195MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $185MQ2 2025: $197MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $169MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $155M
Q4 2023: $208MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $195MQ4 2024: $181MQ1 2025: $185MQ2 2025: $197MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $169MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $155M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$155M-21%
Q2 2026$149.6M-24%
Q1 2026$150.2M-19%
Q4 2025$168.5M-6.6%
Q3 2025$196.8M+1.1%
Q2 2025$197M-1.8%
Q1 2025$185.4M-7.6%
Q4 2024$180.5M-13%

WOLF's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $155M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

WOLF has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 76% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

WOLF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$813MQ1 2024: −$714MQ2 2024: −$884MQ3 2024: −$569MQ4 2024: −$597MQ1 2025: −$363MQ2 2025: −$454MQ3 2025: −$98MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: −$60MQ3 2026: −$95M
Q4 2023: −$813MQ1 2024: −$714MQ2 2024: −$884MQ3 2024: −$569MQ4 2024: −$597MQ1 2025: −$363MQ2 2025: −$454MQ3 2025: −$98MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: −$60MQ3 2026: −$95M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$94.8M+$3.5M
Q2 2026-$59.5M+$394.9M
Q4 2025-$72.6M+$524.3M
Q3 2025-$98.3M+$470.7M
Q2 2025-$454.4M+$429.4M
Q1 2025-$362.8M+$350.9M
Q4 2024-$596.9M+$215.8M
Q3 2024-$569M+$20.4M

WOLF has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$325M over the past year, against −$2B the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

WOLF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 127MQ4 2024: 129MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 141MQ3 2025: 156MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 127MQ4 2024: 129MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 141MQ3 2025: 156MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+6.2%+3.2M shares
1 year-65%-101M shares
3 years-56%-70.1M shares
5 years-53%-60.9M shares
Available history-49%-52.9M shares

WOLF has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WOLF Net Leverage

WOLF's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

WOLF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic28.1Neutral

WOLF's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WOLF PE vs Technology Sector

WOLF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

WOLF has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus WOLF above 1 of 3.

WOLF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.50.1% above
20 week MA$28.05.3% below
50 week MA$28.87.9% below

WOLF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 7.9% below its 50-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

WOLF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$24.4$18.0-26%
2026 YTD$18.0$26.5+48%

WOLF has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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