AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

WEX

WEX Inc.

72
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

WEX has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WEX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Weak

WEX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

WEX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE40x80x120x161x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE40x80x120x161x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.9x$179—
Current15x$179—
Cheap19x$215+20%
Fair28x$329+83%
Expensive53x$610+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WEX's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.9x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WEX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WEX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails WEX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WEX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$247.09
Downside-13%$156.37

Calculated from the latest close: $179.49 on Nov 12.

WEX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

WEX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.16Q1 2024: $6.15Q2 2024: $5.78Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $7.76Q2 2025: $7.91Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $8.47Q1 2026: $8.88Q2 2026: $10.01Q3 2026: $11.59Forward: $22.68
Q4 2023: $6.16Q1 2024: $6.15Q2 2024: $5.78Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $7.76Q2 2025: $7.91Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $8.47Q1 2026: $8.88Q2 2026: $10.01Q3 2026: $11.59Forward: $22.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.68+96%
Q3 2026$11.59+51%
Q2 2026$10.01+27%
Q1 2026$8.88+14%
Q4 2025$8.47+13%
Q3 2025$7.69-2.4%
Q2 2025$7.91+37%
Q1 2025$7.76+26%
Q4 2024$7.50+22%

WEX has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over WEX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WEX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $663MQ1 2024: $653MQ2 2024: $674MQ3 2024: $666MQ4 2024: $637MQ1 2025: $637MQ2 2025: $660MQ3 2025: $692MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: $674MQ2 2026: $754MQ3 2026: $780M
Q4 2023: $663MQ1 2024: $653MQ2 2024: $674MQ3 2024: $666MQ4 2024: $637MQ1 2025: $637MQ2 2025: $660MQ3 2025: $692MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: $674MQ2 2026: $754MQ3 2026: $780M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$780.1M+13%
Q2 2026$753.5M+14%
Q1 2026$673.8M+5.8%
Q4 2025$672.9M+5.7%
Q3 2025$691.8M+4%
Q2 2025$659.6M-2.1%
Q1 2025$636.6M-2.5%
Q4 2024$636.5M-4%

WEX's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $780M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

WEX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $720MQ1 2024: −$187MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: −$514MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $342MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: −$368MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: −$58M
Q4 2023: $720MQ1 2024: −$187MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: −$514MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $342MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: −$368MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: −$58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$58.2M-117%
Q2 2026-$121.1M-153%
Q1 2026-$368.3M+$145.9M
Q4 2025$236.1M-61%
Q3 2025$341.6M+$373.3M
Q2 2025$230M+$276.6M
Q1 2025-$514.2M-$326.9M
Q4 2024$599.7M-17%

WEX has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

WEX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-200K shares
3 years-20%-8.8M shares
5 years-24%-10.7M shares
Available history-21%-9.2M shares

WEX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WEX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 5.3xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.7x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 5.3xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.7xHigh
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20265.0xHigh
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20255.1xHigh
Q1 20255.3xHigh
Q4 20244.0xHigh

WEX's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

WEX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.2Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

WEX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WEX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWEXSector medianRelative
PE15x28x44% below
PE %13534 pts below

WEX is trading at 15x earnings, a 44% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

WEX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$180.70.7% below
20 week MA$181.51.1% below
50 week MA$163.99.5% above
100 week MA$158.913% above
200 week MA$175.32.4% above

WEX has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over WEX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WEX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$209.4$203.5-2.8%
2021$203.5$137.6-32%
2022$137.6$161.9+18%
2023$161.9$194.6+20%
2024$194.6$173.1-11%
2025$173.1$153.1-12%
2026 YTD$153.1$179.5+17%

WEX has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

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