AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over WBX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WBX

Wallbox N.V.

46
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

WBX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WBX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Stable
Unavailable

WBX's cash flow is currently stable, but its revenue and profitability are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

WBX PE Valuation

WBX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WBX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect WBX's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WBX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WBX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$3.55
Downside-42%$1.21

Calculated from the latest close: $2.07 on Nov 12.

WBX trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus WBX down 1,368%.

WBX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.88Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-0.59Q3 2024: $-0.70Q4 2024: $-0.78Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-7.48
Q3 2023: $-0.88Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-0.59Q3 2024: $-0.70Q4 2024: $-0.78Q1 2025: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-7.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q1 2025-$0.66+$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.78-$0.05
Q3 2024-$0.70+$0.18
Q3 2023-$0.88+$0.03
Q3 2022-$0.91-$0.37
Q2 2022-$1.14-$0.99
Q1 2022-$1.20-$1.11
Q4 2021-$1.19-$1.11

WBX lost $7.48 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over WBX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WBX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $27M
Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$26.6M-38%
Q1 2026$33M-21%
Q4 2025$37.4M-6.5%
Q3 2025$39.4M-3%
Q2 2025$42.5M-22%
Q1 2025$41.8M-13%
Q4 2024$40M-4.8%
Q3 2024$40.6M-3.7%

WBX's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $27M last quarter, down 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

WBX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$11MQ4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: −$11MQ4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$20M
Q3 2025$0+$20.3M
Q2 2025$0+$13.2M
Q1 2025$0+$13.3M
Q4 2024-$20M-$9.1M
Q3 2024-$20.3M-$9.4M

WBX has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

WBX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 200MQ4 2023: 194MQ1 2024: 211MQ2 2024: 200MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 189MQ1 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18M
Q3 2023: 200MQ4 2023: 194MQ1 2024: 211MQ2 2024: 200MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 189MQ1 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-94%-261M shares
3 years-90%-158M shares
5 years-89%-143M shares
Available history-89%-143M shares

WBX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WBX Net Leverage

WBX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

WBX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.0Neutral
Stochastic14.7Oversold

WBX's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WBX PE vs Technology Sector

WBX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over WBX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WBX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.6522% below
20 week MA$3.2336% below
50 week MA$3.0733% below
100 week MA$4.8557% below
200 week MA$25.292% below

WBX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over WBX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WBX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$202.4$315.0+56%
2022$315.0$69.8-78%
2023$69.8$35.0-50%
2024$35.0$8.84-75%
2025$8.84$2.77-69%
2026 YTD$2.77$2.07-25%

WBX has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 25% so far in 2026.

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