AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has a slight edge over VYX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
VYX
NCR Voyix Corporation
VYX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VYX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
VYX's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
VYX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 2x | $1.45 | -85% |
| Forward | 9.5x | $9.96 | — |
| Current | 14x | $9.96 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $15.83 | +59% |
| Expensive | 68x | $49.30 | +395% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VYX's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.5x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over VYX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
VYX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect VYX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
VYX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.05 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.72 | +$1.16 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.41 | -94% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.39 | -94% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.30 | -95% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.44 | -110% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.13 | +$11.16 |
| Q1 2025 | $6.63 | +$10.02 |
| Q4 2024 | $6.47 | +$9.51 |
VYX has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over VYX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
VYX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $539M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $523M | -21% |
| Q1 2026 | $606M | -1.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $720M | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $684M | -3.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $666M | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $617M | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | $682M | -29% |
VYX's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $539M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.1% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.4% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.1% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.2% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3% | +14 points |
VYX has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
VYX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$20M | -300% |
| Q2 2026 | -$24M | +$225M |
| Q1 2026 | $6M | +$56M |
| Q4 2025 | -$86M | +$91M |
| Q3 2025 | $10M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | -$249M | -608% |
| Q1 2025 | -$50M | -$7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$177M | -$125M |
VYX has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
VYX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.5% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -0.8% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1.5% | +2M shares |
| Available history | -3.7% | -5.4M shares |
VYX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8M |
| Q2 2026 | $11M |
| Q1 2026 | $9M |
| Q4 2025 | $5M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $7M |
| Q1 2025 | $62M |
| Q4 2021 | — |
VYX spent $33M buying back its own shares over the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VYX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
VYX's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
VYX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 69.5 | Neutral |
VYX's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VYX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | VYX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 28x | 50% below |
| PE % | 35 | 35 | Same percentile |
VYX is trading at 14x earnings, a 50% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
VYX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.14 | 22% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.18 | 22% above |
| 50 week MA | $8.25 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $9.98 | 0.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.3 | 19% below |
VYX has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over VYX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VYX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.5 | $22.4 | +4.4% |
| 2021 | $22.4 | $24.1 | +7.5% |
| 2022 | $24.1 | $14.2 | -41% |
| 2023 | $14.2 | $16.9 | +19% |
| 2024 | $16.9 | $13.9 | -18% |
| 2025 | $13.9 | $10.5 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.5 | $9.96 | -5.5% |
VYX has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.5% so far in 2026.