AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has a slight edge over VSAT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
VSAT
Viasat, Inc.
VSAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VSAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
VSAT's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
VSAT PE Valuation
VSAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over VSAT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
VSAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect VSAT's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
VSAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.68 | +$3.35 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.20 | +$4.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.25 | +$4.23 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.62 | +$1.08 |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.03 | -$0.57 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.65 | +$3.90 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | +$4.64 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.70 | -147% |
VSAT has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over VSAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
VSAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | -1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +1.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +4% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | -0.4% |
VSAT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.2B last quarter, up 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6% | -2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +5.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -13% | -13 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9% | +5.8 points |
VSAT has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
VSAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $285M | +1% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.6M | +0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $322.3M | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $726.9M | +231% |
| Q3 2025 | $282.2M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $258.5M | +71% |
| Q1 2025 | $298.4M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $219.5M | +64% |
VSAT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
VSAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +1.5M shares |
| 1 year | +2.6% | +3.5M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +14.1M shares |
| 5 years | +85% | +63.8M shares |
| Available history | +120% | +75.7M shares |
VSAT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VSAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
VSAT's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.1 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
VSAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 43.0 | Neutral |
VSAT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VSAT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | VSAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
VSAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
VSAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $68.7 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $72.9 | 2.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $60.7 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $39.4 | 81% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.3 | 128% above |
VSAT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.
VSAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $73.0 | $33.4 | -54% |
| 2021 | $33.4 | $45.5 | +36% |
| 2022 | $45.5 | $31.7 | -30% |
| 2023 | $31.7 | $28.0 | -12% |
| 2024 | $28.0 | $8.94 | -68% |
| 2025 | $8.94 | $34.8 | +289% |
| 2026 YTD | $34.8 | $71.2 | +105% |
VSAT has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.