AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over VRT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.3B last quarter, up 61% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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