AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has a slight edge over VPG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
VPG
Vishay Precision Group, Inc.
VPG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VPG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
VPG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
VPG PE Valuation
VPG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VPG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VPG, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over VPG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VPG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.29 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.25 | -142% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.30 | +$0.39 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +96% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.40 | -46% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.60 | -39% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.09 | -106% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.23 | -87% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.74 | -61% |
VPG has swung to a loss: it lost $0.25 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over VPG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
VPG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $85.1M | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $83.9M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $84.4M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $80.6M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $79.7M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $75.2M | -2.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $71.7M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $72.7M | -19% |
VPG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $85M last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2% | -9.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3% | -4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +7.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.6% | -4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1% | -8.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3% | -13 points |
VPG has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
VPG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.5M | +$8.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.7M | -136% |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.7M | -198% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4M | -71% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.5M | -$832K |
| Q2 2025 | $4.7M | -3.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7M | -2.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.6M | -66% |
VPG has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
VPG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -30K shares |
| 1 year | -0.5% | -72K shares |
| 3 years | -2.7% | -374K shares |
| 5 years | -2.3% | -309K shares |
| Available history | -2.1% | -283K shares |
VPG has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $1.9M |
| Q2 2024 | $3.1M |
| Q1 2024 | $2.8M |
VPG hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VPG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
VPG has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
VPG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.9 | Oversold |
VPG's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VPG PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | VPG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 182x | 28x | 553% above |
| PE % | 93 | 35 | 58 pts above |
VPG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
VPG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.1 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $74.2 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $68.4 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $47.7 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $40.4 | 31% above |
VPG has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over VPG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VPG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.8 | $30.1 | -11% |
| 2021 | $30.1 | $36.5 | +21% |
| 2022 | $36.5 | $38.4 | +5.4% |
| 2023 | $38.4 | $34.1 | -11% |
| 2024 | $34.1 | $23.3 | -31% |
| 2025 | $23.3 | $39.7 | +70% |
| 2026 YTD | $39.7 | $52.9 | +33% |
VPG is up 33% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.