AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over VISN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

VISN

Vistance Networks, Inc.

33
Fundamentals26/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential62/ 100

VISN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VISN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Weak
Strong

VISN's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

VISN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.6x3.2x4.8x6.4x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.6x3.2x4.8x6.4x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current0.1x$4.00—
Cheap0.4x$12.74+219%
Fair2x$72.02+1700%
Expensive5.8x$203+4964%
Forward6.7x$4.00—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VISN's PE is in its cheap range at 0.1x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 6.7x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over VISN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

VISN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VISN's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VISN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VISN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$6.19
Downside-62%$1.54

Calculated from the latest close: $4.00 on Nov 12.

VISN trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

VISN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.17Q1 2024: $-8.88Q2 2024: $-8.20Q3 2024: $-4.45Q4 2024: $-1.90Q1 2025: $2.75Q2 2025: $2.68Q3 2025: $3.30Q4 2025: $9.63Q1 2026: $29.90Q2 2026: $31.05Q3 2026: $35.20Forward: $0.59
Q4 2023: $-7.17Q1 2024: $-8.88Q2 2024: $-8.20Q3 2024: $-4.45Q4 2024: $-1.90Q1 2025: $2.75Q2 2025: $2.68Q3 2025: $3.30Q4 2025: $9.63Q1 2026: $29.90Q2 2026: $31.05Q3 2026: $35.20Forward: $0.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.59-98%
Q3 2026$35.20+967%
Q2 2026$31.05+1059%
Q1 2026$29.90+987%
Q4 2025$9.63+$11.53
Q3 2025$3.30+$7.75
Q2 2025$2.68+$10.88
Q1 2025$2.75+$11.63
Q4 2024-$1.90+$5.27

VISN has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over VISN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VISN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $515MQ1 2026: $472MQ2 2026: $320MQ3 2026: $320M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $515MQ1 2026: $472MQ2 2026: $320MQ3 2026: $320M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$319.7M-80%
Q2 2026$319.6M-77%
Q1 2026$471.8M-58%
Q4 2025$514.5M-56%
Q3 2025$1.6B+51%
Q2 2025$1.4B+0.1%
Q1 2025$1.1B-4.8%
Q4 2024$1.2B-1.4%

VISN's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $320M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

VISN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$184MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: −$202MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $256MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: −$58M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$184MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: −$202MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $256MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: −$58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$57.7M-143%
Q2 2026-$74.8M-216%
Q1 2026-$228.8M-$26.4M
Q4 2025$255.5M-5.6%
Q3 2025$135M+17%
Q2 2025$64.5M+42%
Q1 2025-$202.4M-$18.7M
Q4 2024$270.6M+431%

VISN has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

VISN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 211MQ1 2024: 212MQ2 2024: 216MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 214MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 227MQ3 2025: 278MQ4 2025: 230MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 234MQ3 2026: 227M
Q4 2023: 211MQ1 2024: 212MQ2 2024: 216MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 214MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 227MQ3 2025: 278MQ4 2025: 230MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 234MQ3 2026: 227M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3%-6.9M shares
1 year-18%-50.8M shares
3 years+9.4%+19.5M shares
5 years+16%+32M shares

VISN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VISN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 13.8xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 7.7xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -4.1x
Q3 2024: 13.8xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 7.7xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20257.3xHigh
Q1 20257.7xHigh
Q4 202411.0xHigh

VISN has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

VISN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI21.6Oversold
Stochastic5.0Oversold

VISN's weekly RSI is 22 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VISN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVISNSector medianRelative
PE0.1x28x100% below
PE %03535 pts below

VISN is trading at 0.1x earnings, a 100% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over VISN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VISN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.8031% below
20 week MA$8.3052% below
50 week MA$13.370% below
100 week MA$11.365% below
200 week MA$7.5047% below

VISN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over VISN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VISN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.0$13.1-6%
2021$13.1$10.8-17%
2022$10.8$7.11-34%
2023$7.11$2.82-60%
2024$2.82$5.51+95%
2025$5.51$18.3+231%
2026 YTD$18.3$4.00-78%

VISN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +231% in 2025 to −60% in 2023. It's down 78% so far in 2026.

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