AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

VIP

Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc. Class A

There isn't enough reported data to score VIP yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VIP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Weak
Weak

VIP's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

VIP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.5x$0.49-48%
Fair4.5x$0.63-32%
Current6.7x$0.94โ€”
Expensive12x$1.71+82%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIP's PE is 6.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIP Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for VIP to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and VIP's risk to reward.

VIP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.94 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and VIP's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

VIP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-32.88Q4 2023: $-3.27Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-2.53Q3 2024: $-1.17Q4 2024: $-1.88Q1 2025: $-1.86Q2 2025: $-1.57Q3 2025: $-0.22Q4 2025: $0.34Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.14
Q3 2023: $-32.88Q4 2023: $-3.27Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-2.53Q3 2024: $-1.17Q4 2024: $-1.88Q1 2025: $-1.86Q2 2025: $-1.57Q3 2025: $-0.22Q4 2025: $0.34Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.14+$1.71
Q1 2026$0.45+$2.31
Q4 2025$0.34+$2.22
Q3 2025-$0.22+$0.95
Q2 2025-$1.57+$0.96
Q1 2025-$1.86+$1.68
Q4 2024-$1.88+$1.39
Q3 2024-$1.17+$31.71

VIP has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over VIP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $3M
Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.4M-74%
Q1 2026$20.8M+8.3%
Q4 2025$11.5M-23%
Q3 2025$15.2M+23%
Q2 2025$12.9M-1.5%
Q1 2025$19.2M-0.5%
Q4 2024$14.8M-25%
Q3 2024$12.4M-41%

VIP's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $3M last quarter, down 74% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

VIP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: โˆ’$11MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: $120,000Q4 2025: โˆ’$5MQ1 2026: โˆ’$11MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4M
Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: โˆ’$11MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: $120,000Q4 2025: โˆ’$5MQ1 2026: โˆ’$11MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$4.3M+$456K
Q1 2026-$11.4M-$5.7M
Q4 2025-$4.6M-$709K
Q3 2025$120K+$1.9M
Q2 2025-$4.8M-$3.4M
Q1 2025-$5.7M-$736K
Q4 2024-$3.9M+$7.4M
Q3 2024-$1.8M-198%

VIP has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

VIP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 17M
Q3 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+1.2M shares
1 year+12%+1.9M shares
3 years-68%-36.3M shares

VIP has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VIP Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 19.8xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 30.3xQ1 2025: 46.3xQ2 2025: 38.8xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 6.5x
Q2 2024: 19.8xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 30.3xQ1 2025: 46.3xQ2 2025: 38.8xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 6.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20266.5xHigh
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 202538.8xHigh
Q1 202546.3xHigh
Q4 202430.3xHigh
Q3 20247.3xHigh
Q2 202419.8xHigh

VIP's net debt is about 6.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

VIP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.0Neutral
Stochastic1.4Oversold

VIP's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVIPSector medianRelative
PE6.7x28x76% below
PE %594514 pts above

VIP is trading at 6.7x earnings, a 76% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over VIP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VIP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.2927% below
20 week MA$1.6744% below
50 week MA$1.5138% below
100 week MA$1.4535% below
200 week MA$2.7065% below

VIP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over VIP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VIP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$397.0$196.5-51%
2022$196.5$2.50-99%
2023$2.50$6.71+168%
2024$6.71$1.65-75%
2025$1.65$1.54-6.7%
2026 YTD$1.54$0.94-39%

VIP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +168% in 2023 to โˆ’99% in 2022. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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