AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VICR

Vicor Corporation

86
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential87/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

VICR has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VICR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Stable
Strong

VICR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, and its cash flow is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

VICR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE170x340x510x681x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE170x340x510x681x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$165—
Current43x$165—
Cheap54x$206+25%
Fair88x$338+105%
Expensive337x$1,287+682%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VICR's PE is in its cheap range at 43x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VICR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VICR, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails VICR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VICR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+149%$409.33
Downside-22%$129.23

Calculated from the latest close: $164.69 on Nov 12.

VICR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

VICR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.20Q3 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.53Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.84Q4 2025: $2.61Q1 2026: $2.99Q2 2026: $3.12Q3 2026: $3.82Forward: $5.66
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.20Q3 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.53Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $1.84Q4 2025: $2.61Q1 2026: $2.99Q2 2026: $3.12Q3 2026: $3.82Forward: $5.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.66+48%
Q3 2026$3.82+108%
Q2 2026$3.12+112%
Q1 2026$2.99+464%
Q4 2025$2.61+1764%
Q3 2025$1.84+1944%
Q2 2025$1.47+635%
Q1 2025$0.53-13%
Q4 2024$0.14-88%

VICR has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over VICR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VICR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $93MQ1 2024: $84MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: $96MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $197M
Q4 2023: $93MQ1 2024: $84MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: $96MQ1 2025: $94MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $197M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$197.1M+79%
Q2 2026$143.4M+1.6%
Q1 2026$113M+20%
Q4 2025$107.3M+12%
Q3 2025$110.4M+19%
Q2 2025$141M+64%
Q1 2025$94M+12%
Q4 2024$96.2M+3.8%

VICR's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $197M last quarter, up 79% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

VICR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $34M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $34M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$34M-1.3%
Q2 2026$23M-61%
Q1 2026-$16.3M-205%
Q4 2025$10.2M+21%
Q3 2025$34.5M+144%
Q2 2025$59M+526%
Q1 2025$15.6M+$20.3M
Q4 2024$8.4M-42%

VICR has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

VICR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-99K shares
1 year+6%+2.7M shares
3 years+5.4%+2.4M shares
5 years+5.7%+2.6M shares
Available history+14%+5.9M shares

VICR has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VICR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.5xQ1 2024: -5.6xQ2 2024: -10.1xQ3 2024: -18.0xQ4 2024: -16.0xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -4.3xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -4.1xQ3 2026: -3.2x
Q4 2023: -3.5xQ1 2024: -5.6xQ2 2024: -10.1xQ3 2024: -18.0xQ4 2024: -16.0xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -4.3xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -4.1xQ3 2026: -3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-16.0xNet Cash

VICR has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

VICR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.9Neutral
Stochastic13.5Oversold

VICR's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VICR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVICRSector medianRelative
PE43x28x55% above
PE %113524 pts below

VICR is trading at 43x earnings, a 55% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

VICR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$215.924% below
20 week MA$219.625% below
50 week MA$206.620% below
100 week MA$130.326% above
200 week MA$88.486% above

VICR has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

VICR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.6$93.9+106%
2021$93.9$124.0+32%
2022$124.0$52.6-58%
2023$52.6$44.9-15%
2024$44.9$49.9+11%
2025$49.9$111.0+123%
2026 YTD$111.0$164.7+48%

VICR has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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