AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

VHC

VirnetX Holding Corp

There isn't enough reported data to score VHC yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Unavailable
Strong

VHC's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

VHC PE Valuation

VHC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VHC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for VHC to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and VHC's risk to reward.

VHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $9.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and VHC's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over VHC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VHC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-12.56Q4 2024: $-5.05Q1 2025: $-4.87Q2 2025: $-4.79Q3 2025: $-4.90Q4 2025: $-5.00Q1 2026: $-5.15Q2 2026: $-5.36
Q3 2023: $-12.56Q4 2024: $-5.05Q1 2025: $-4.87Q2 2025: $-4.79Q3 2025: $-4.90Q4 2025: $-5.00Q1 2026: $-5.15Q2 2026: $-5.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$5.36-$0.57
Q1 2026-$5.15-$0.28
Q4 2025-$5.00+$0.05
Q3 2023-$12.56-$6.56
Q2 2023-$12.40-$6.60
Q1 2023-$10.40-$4.80
Q4 2022-$10.20+$1.80
Q3 2022-$6.00+$5.60

VHC is still losing money, but far less than before: $5.36 per share over the past year, against $13.00 at its worst in early 2021.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over VHC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VHC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3,000Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $2,000Q2 2024: $1,000Q3 2024: $2,000Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $48,000Q3 2025: $58,000Q4 2025: $56,000Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $3,000Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $2,000Q2 2024: $1,000Q3 2024: $2,000Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $48,000Q3 2025: $58,000Q4 2025: $56,000Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2025$58K+2800%
Q2 2025$48K+4700%
Q3 2024$2K-33%
Q2 2024$1K-50%
Q1 2024$2K0%
Q3 2023$3K-25%
Q2 2023$2K-94%
Q1 2023$2K-60%

VHC's revenue is growing: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

VHC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$3MQ4 2023: โˆ’$7MQ1 2024: โˆ’$4MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$3MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$6MQ1 2026: โˆ’$4MQ2 2026: --
Q3 2023: โˆ’$3MQ4 2023: โˆ’$7MQ1 2024: โˆ’$4MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$3MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$6MQ1 2026: โˆ’$4MQ2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$4.3M-$403K
Q4 2025-$5.8M-$287K
Q3 2025-$3M+$200K
Q1 2025-$3.9M-$378K
Q4 2024-$5.5M+$1.5M
Q3 2024-$3.2M+$70K
Q1 2024-$3.5M-$805K
Q2 2023-$11.8M-$8.4M

VHC has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$17M over the past year, against โˆ’$19M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

VHC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 4M
Q3 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 4M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+16K shares
1 year+3.9%+143K shares
3 years+5.6%+199K shares
5 years+6.1%+217K shares
Available history+9.4%+323K shares

VHC has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VHC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2020-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2020-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2020-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2020-2.6xNet Cash

VHC has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

VHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic14.7Oversold

VHC's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VHC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVHCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

VHC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over VHC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.25.6% below
20 week MA$11.617% below
50 week MA$14.533% below
100 week MA$13.629% below
200 week MA$12.623% below

VHC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over VHC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$76.8$105.0+37%
2021$105.0$57.6-45%
2022$57.6$24.0-58%
2023$24.0$7.00-71%
2024$7.00$5.25-25%
2025$5.25$18.0+243%
2026 YTD$18.0$9.65-46%

VHC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +243% in 2025 to โˆ’71% in 2023. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

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