AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

VELO

Velo3D, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score VELO yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VELO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

VELO's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

VELO PE Valuation

VELO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VELO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect VELO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and VELO's risk to reward.

VELO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.41 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and VELO's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus VELO down 140%.

VELO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-357.00Q1 2024: $-315.00Q2 2024: $-252.30Q3 2024: $-242.10Q4 2024: $-142.05
Q4 2023: $-357.00Q1 2024: $-315.00Q2 2024: $-252.30Q3 2024: $-242.10Q4 2024: $-142.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024-$142.05+$214.95
Q3 2024-$242.10-$131.85
Q2 2024-$252.30+$25.95
Q1 2024-$315.00-373%
Q4 2023-$357.00-1460%

VELO is still losing money, but far less than before: $142.05 per share over the past year, against $357.00 at its worst in late 2023.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over VELO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VELO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $20M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $20M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.5M+50%
Q2 2026$20.7M+52%
Q1 2026$13.8M+48%
Q4 2025$9.4M-25%
Q3 2025$13.6M+65%
Q2 2025$13.6M+31%
Q1 2025$9.3M-4.8%
Q4 2024$12.6M+648%

VELO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $20M last quarter, up 50% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

VELO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: −$25MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$8MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$14.6M-$8.2M
Q2 2026-$25.1M-$22.1M
Q1 2026-$18.9M-$6.6M
Q4 2025-$8.3M-$6.1M
Q3 2025-$6.3M-$4.3M
Q2 2025-$3M+$5M
Q1 2025-$12.3M+$8.2M
Q4 2024-$2.2M+$22.3M

VELO has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over VELO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VELO Total Shares

Q1 2024: 495,798Q2 2024: 565,026Q3 2024: 616,030
Q1 2024: 495,798Q2 2024: 565,026Q3 2024: 616,030
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9%+51K shares
1 year+67%+247K shares

VELO has 616,030 diluted shares, up 67% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VELO Net Leverage

VELO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

VELO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.7Neutral
Stochastic3.3Oversold

VELO's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VELO PE vs Technology Sector

VELO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus VELO above 0 of 4.

VELO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.6442% below
20 week MA$10.458% below
50 week MA$13.267% below
100 week MA$10.457% below

VELO is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 57% below its 100-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over VELO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VELO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$11.7$10.2-13%
2025$10.2$13.5+32%
2026 YTD$13.5$4.41-67%

VELO has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 67% so far in 2026.

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