AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

USBC

USBC, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score USBC yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

USBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

USBC's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

USBC PE Valuation

USBC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

USBC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for USBC to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and USBC's risk to reward.

USBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.37 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and USBC's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

USBC has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus USBC down 101%.

USBC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2026: $-0.18
Q3 2026: $-0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2022-$23.15+$9.65
Q1 2022-$29.61-$1.21
Q4 2021-$32.00-$5.20
Q3 2021-$34.40-$9.60
Q2 2021-$32.80-$5.20
Q1 2021-$28.40-$0.80
Q4 2020-$26.80-$2.40

USBC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.18 per share over the past year, against $34.40 at its worst in late 2021.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $270M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.

USBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

USBC's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $0 last quarter.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

USBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$3MQ1 2024: โˆ’$4MQ2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: โˆ’$3MQ4 2024: โˆ’$2MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$5MQ1 2026: โˆ’$7MQ2 2026: โˆ’$8MQ3 2026: โˆ’$8M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$3MQ1 2024: โˆ’$4MQ2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: โˆ’$3MQ4 2024: โˆ’$2MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$5MQ1 2026: โˆ’$7MQ2 2026: โˆ’$8MQ3 2026: โˆ’$8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$8.3M-$5.2M
Q2 2026-$8.2M-$6.9M
Q1 2026-$7.1M-$5.8M
Q4 2025-$4.6M-$2.7M
Q3 2025-$3.1M+$148.8K
Q2 2025-$1.3M+$1.3M
Q1 2025-$1.3M+$2.4M
Q4 2024-$1.9M+$1.5M

USBC has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over USBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

USBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 388MQ1 2026: 388MQ2 2026: 388MQ3 2026: 388M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 388MQ1 2026: 388MQ2 2026: 388MQ3 2026: 388M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+4K shares
1 year+5679%+381M shares
3 years+29553%+387M shares
5 years+49899%+387M shares
Available history+84235%+388M shares

USBC has 388M diluted shares, up 5679% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

USBC Net Leverage

USBC's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

USBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.2Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

USBC's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

USBC PE vs Technology Sector

USBC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over USBC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

USBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.4518% below
20 week MA$0.419.8% below
50 week MA$0.4416% below
100 week MA$1.2671% below
200 week MA$13.497% below

USBC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 97% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over USBC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

USBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.0$82.0+28%
2021$82.0$80.8-1.5%
2022$80.8$50.8-37%
2023$50.8$20.4-60%
2024$20.4$6.40-69%
2025$6.40$0.69-89%
2026 YTD$0.69$0.37-46%

USBC has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 46% so far in 2026.

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