AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over UIS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

UIS

Unisys Corporation

56
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

UIS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

UIS's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

UIS PE Valuation

UIS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over UIS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect UIS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UIS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$4.75
Downside-39%$1.74

Calculated from the latest close: $2.87 on Nov 12.

UIS trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

UIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.31Q1 2024: $-5.91Q2 2024: $-5.49Q3 2024: $-5.65Q4 2024: $-2.79Q1 2025: $-1.03Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-4.58Q4 2025: $-4.79Q1 2026: $-4.87Q2 2026: $-5.90Q3 2026: $-4.33Forward: $1.04
Q4 2023: $-6.31Q1 2024: $-5.91Q2 2024: $-5.49Q3 2024: $-5.65Q4 2024: $-2.79Q1 2025: $-1.03Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-4.58Q4 2025: $-4.79Q1 2026: $-4.87Q2 2026: $-5.90Q3 2026: $-4.33Forward: $1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.04—
Q3 2026-$4.33+$0.25
Q2 2026-$5.90-$4.76
Q1 2026-$4.87-$3.84
Q4 2025-$4.79-$2.00
Q3 2025-$4.58+$1.07
Q2 2025-$1.14+$4.35
Q1 2025-$1.03+$4.88
Q4 2024-$2.79+$3.52

UIS has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over UIS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $558MQ1 2024: $488MQ2 2024: $478MQ3 2024: $497MQ4 2024: $545MQ1 2025: $432MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $575MQ1 2026: $438MQ2 2026: $474MQ3 2026: $472M
Q4 2023: $558MQ1 2024: $488MQ2 2024: $478MQ3 2024: $497MQ4 2024: $545MQ1 2025: $432MQ2 2025: $483MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $575MQ1 2026: $438MQ2 2026: $474MQ3 2026: $472M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$471.5M+2.5%
Q2 2026$473.5M-2%
Q1 2026$437.6M+1.3%
Q4 2025$574.5M+5.3%
Q3 2025$460.2M-7.4%
Q2 2025$483.3M+1.1%
Q1 2025$432.1M-11%
Q4 2024$545.4M-2.2%

UIS's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $472M last quarter, up 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

UIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: −$324MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: −$46M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: −$324MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$38MQ3 2026: −$46M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46.4M-243%
Q2 2026-$38.3M+$285.8M
Q1 2026-$15.1M-162%
Q4 2025$97.3M+36%
Q3 2025$32.4M+14%
Q2 2025-$324.1M-$321.7M
Q1 2025$24.4M+13%
Q4 2024$71.6M+319%

UIS has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

UIS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 69MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 70MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 69MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 70MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+14K shares
1 year+2.3%+1.6M shares
3 years+6.6%+4.5M shares
5 years+8.6%+5.8M shares
Available history+30%+17M shares

UIS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UIS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 8.5xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 8.5xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20268.5xHigh
Q1 20263.2xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20255.6xHigh
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

UIS's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.5 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

UIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.2Neutral
Stochastic58.9Neutral

UIS's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UIS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUISSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

UIS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

UIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.4716% above
20 week MA$2.792.9% above
50 week MA$2.812.1% above
100 week MA$3.6622% below
200 week MA$4.3234% below

UIS has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over UIS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.6$19.1+64%
2021$19.1$20.4+7.2%
2022$20.4$4.58-78%
2023$4.58$5.62+23%
2024$5.62$6.42+14%
2025$6.42$2.86-55%
2026 YTD$2.86$2.87+0.3%

UIS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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