AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TYL

Tyler Technologies, Inc.

77
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

TYL has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TYL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TYL's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

TYL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x75x112x150x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x75x112x150x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$424—
Current53x$424—
Cheap71x$565+33%
Fair92x$734+73%
Expensive113x$895+111%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TYL's PE is in its cheap range at 53x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TYL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TYL, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails TYL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TYL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$545.76
Downside-12%$373.03

Calculated from the latest close: $423.59 on Nov 12.

TYL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

TYL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.88Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.83Q3 2024: $5.47Q4 2024: $6.05Q1 2025: $6.63Q2 2025: $6.99Q3 2025: $7.18Q4 2025: $7.20Q1 2026: $7.24Q2 2026: $7.54Q3 2026: $7.94Forward: $14.99
Q4 2023: $3.88Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.83Q3 2024: $5.47Q4 2024: $6.05Q1 2025: $6.63Q2 2025: $6.99Q3 2025: $7.18Q4 2025: $7.20Q1 2026: $7.24Q2 2026: $7.54Q3 2026: $7.94Forward: $14.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.99+89%
Q3 2026$7.94+11%
Q2 2026$7.54+7.9%
Q1 2026$7.24+9.2%
Q4 2025$7.20+19%
Q3 2025$7.18+31%
Q2 2025$6.99+45%
Q1 2025$6.63+50%
Q4 2024$6.05+56%

TYL has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over TYL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TYL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $481MQ1 2024: $512MQ2 2024: $541MQ3 2024: $543MQ4 2024: $541MQ1 2025: $565MQ2 2025: $596MQ3 2025: $596MQ4 2025: $575MQ1 2026: $614MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $648M
Q4 2023: $481MQ1 2024: $512MQ2 2024: $541MQ3 2024: $543MQ4 2024: $541MQ1 2025: $565MQ2 2025: $596MQ3 2025: $596MQ4 2025: $575MQ1 2026: $614MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $648M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$647.6M+8.7%
Q2 2026$645.1M+8.2%
Q1 2026$613.5M+8.6%
Q4 2025$575.2M+6.3%
Q3 2025$595.9M+9.7%
Q2 2025$596.1M+10%
Q1 2025$565.2M+10%
Q4 2024$541.1M+13%

TYL's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $648M last quarter, up 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

TYL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $261MQ4 2024: $221MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $119MQ3 2026: $278M
Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $261MQ4 2024: $221MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $104MQ2 2026: $119MQ3 2026: $278M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$278M+11%
Q2 2026$119.4M+29%
Q1 2026$104M+93%
Q4 2025$239.6M+8.4%
Q3 2025$251.3M-3.6%
Q2 2025$92.8M+61%
Q1 2025$53.8M-17%
Q4 2024$221M+59%

TYL has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

TYL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-1.1M shares
1 year-7.1%-3.1M shares
3 years-4.9%-2.1M shares
5 years-3.7%-1.6M shares
Available history0%-5K shares

TYL has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TYL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

TYL has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

TYL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.4Neutral
Stochastic91.4Overbought

TYL's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TYL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTYLSector medianRelative
PE53x28x91% above
PE %113524 pts below

TYL is trading at 53x earnings, a 91% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

TYL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$370.914% above
20 week MA$346.522% above
50 week MA$355.119% above
100 week MA$456.47.2% below
200 week MA$451.16.1% below

TYL has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over TYL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TYL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$300.6$434.3+44%
2021$434.3$523.1+20%
2022$523.1$320.1-39%
2023$320.1$418.1+31%
2024$418.1$587.1+40%
2025$587.1$461.1-21%
2026 YTD$461.1$423.6-8.1%

TYL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 8.1% so far in 2026.

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