AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TTMI

TTM Technologies, Inc.

76
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential91/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

TTMI has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TTMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

TTMI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

TTMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x144x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x144x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.8x$76.28—
Cheap13x$32.17-58%
Fair27x$67.33-12%
Current31x$76.28—
Expensive62x$155+103%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TTMI's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TTMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TTMI, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails TTMI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TTMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+159%$197.93
Downside-16%$63.79

Calculated from the latest close: $76.28 on Nov 12.

TTMI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

TTMI Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $0.66Q4 2024: $0.54Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $1.26Q4 2025: $1.68Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $2.21Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $7.79
Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $0.66Q4 2024: $0.54Q1 2025: $0.75Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $1.26Q4 2025: $1.68Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $2.21Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $7.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.79+211%
Q3 2026$2.50+98%
Q2 2026$2.21+146%
Q1 2026$1.84+145%
Q4 2025$1.68+211%
Q3 2025$1.26+91%
Q2 2025$0.90+463%
Q1 2025$0.75+$0.77
Q4 2024$0.54+$0.72

TTMI has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over TTMI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TTMI Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $570MQ3 2024: $605MQ3 2024: $617MQ4 2024: $651MQ1 2025: $649MQ2 2025: $731MQ3 2025: $753MQ4 2025: $774MQ1 2026: $846MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $570MQ3 2024: $605MQ3 2024: $617MQ4 2024: $651MQ1 2025: $649MQ2 2025: $731MQ3 2025: $753MQ4 2025: $774MQ1 2026: $846MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+60%
Q2 2026$1B+37%
Q1 2026$846M+30%
Q4 2025$774.3M+19%
Q3 2025$752.7M+22%
Q2 2025$730.6M+21%
Q1 2025$648.7M+14%
Q4 2024$651M+14%

TTMI's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 60% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

TTMI Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$74MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$85MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $72M
Q1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$74MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$85MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$72.3M+71%
Q2 2026$34.1M-8.9%
Q1 2026-$85.1M-$11.1M
Q4 2025-$6.5M-122%
Q3 2025$42.4M+75%
Q2 2025$37.4M+1467%
Q1 2025-$74M-$68.5M
Q4 2024$30M+2052%

TTMI has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

TTMI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 103MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
Q1 2024: 103MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 107MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+116K shares
1 year+1.8%+1.9M shares
3 years+4%+4.2M shares
5 years-0.6%-646K shares
Available history+1.3%+1.4M shares

TTMI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TTMI Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.8xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

TTMI's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

TTMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.7Neutral
Stochastic14.2Oversold

TTMI's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TTMI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTTMISector medianRelative
PE31x28x9.5% above
PE %593524 pts above

TTMI is trading at 31x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

TTMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.722% below
20 week MA$117.035% below
50 week MA$118.936% below
100 week MA$78.32.6% below
200 week MA$47.262% above

TTMI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 62% above its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over TTMI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TTMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.0$13.7-8.4%
2021$13.7$14.5+5.6%
2022$14.5$15.0+3.3%
2023$15.0$15.8+5.7%
2024$15.8$25.0+58%
2025$25.0$71.7+186%
2026 YTD$71.7$76.3+6.4%

TTMI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 6.4% so far in 2026.

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