AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TTAN

ServiceTitan, Inc.

67
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

TTAN has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TTAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable

TTAN's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

TTAN PE Valuation

TTAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TTAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TTAN, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TTAN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TTAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+78%$145.07
Downside-42%$46.84

Calculated from the latest close: $81.33 on Nov 12.

TTAN trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over TTAN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.63Q1 2024: $-4.63Q2 2024: $-3.82Q3 2024: $-3.70Q4 2024: $-4.82Q1 2025: $-8.24Q2 2025: $-7.97Q3 2025: $-6.87Q4 2025: $-5.55Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-1.53Q3 2026: $-1.44Forward: $1.57
Q4 2023: $-4.63Q1 2024: $-4.63Q2 2024: $-3.82Q3 2024: $-3.70Q4 2024: $-4.82Q1 2025: $-8.24Q2 2025: $-7.97Q3 2025: $-6.87Q4 2025: $-5.55Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-1.53Q3 2026: $-1.44Forward: $1.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.57—
Q3 2026-$1.44+$5.43
Q2 2026-$1.53+$6.44
Q1 2026-$1.80+$6.44
Q4 2025-$5.55-$0.73
Q3 2025-$6.87-$3.17
Q2 2025-$7.97-$4.15
Q1 2025-$8.24-$3.61
Q4 2024-$4.82-$0.19

TTAN is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.44 per share over the past year, against $8.24 at its worst in early 2025.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over TTAN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TTAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: $162MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $199MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $216MQ3 2025: $242MQ4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $269MQ3 2026: $293M
Q4 2023: $160MQ1 2024: $162MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $199MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $216MQ3 2025: $242MQ4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $269MQ3 2026: $293M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$292.8M+21%
Q2 2026$268.8M+25%
Q1 2026$254M+21%
Q4 2025$249.2M+25%
Q3 2025$242.1M+25%
Q2 2025$215.7M+27%
Q1 2025$209.3M+29%
Q4 2024$199.3M+24%

TTAN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2023: $293M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

TTAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$56.9M+45%
Q2 2026-$2.2M+$13.7M
Q1 2026$39.9M+176%
Q3 2025$39.2M+109%
Q2 2025-$15.9M+$4M
Q1 2025$14.4M+$16.6M
Q3 2024$18.7M+$52.2M
Q2 2024-$19.9M+$13.6M

TTAN has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

TTAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 96M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 96M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+859K shares
1 year+4.6%+4.2M shares
3 years+193%+63.1M shares

TTAN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TTAN Net Leverage

TTAN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

TTAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.9Neutral
Stochastic59.0Neutral

TTAN's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TTAN PE vs Technology Sector

TTAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

TTAN has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus TTAN above 3 of 4.

TTAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.97.2% above
20 week MA$78.14.2% above
50 week MA$77.05.7% above
100 week MA$90.610% below

TTAN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 10% below its 100-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over TTAN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TTAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$100.0$108.4+8.4%
2025$108.4$107.7-0.6%
2026 YTD$107.7$81.3-24%

TTAN has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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