AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSSI

TSS, Inc.

68
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation93/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

TSSI has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TSSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

TSSI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

TSSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current11x$6.70—
Cheap22x$13.24+98%
Forward25x$6.70—
Fair45x$27.55+311%
Expensive67x$40.69+507%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSSI's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSSI, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails TSSI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TSSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+170%$18.12
Downside-43%$3.84

Calculated from the latest close: $6.70 on Nov 12.

TSSI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

TSSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.00Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $0.52Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.61Forward: $0.27
Q4 2023: $0.00Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.09Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $0.52Q2 2026: $0.51Q3 2026: $0.61Forward: $0.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.27-57%
Q3 2026$0.61+205%
Q2 2026$0.51+42%
Q1 2026$0.52+44%
Q4 2025$0.56+133%
Q3 2025$0.20+11%
Q2 2025$0.36+300%
Q1 2025$0.36+800%
Q4 2024$0.24+$0.24

TSSI has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over TSSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $50M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $50M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.1M+20%
Q2 2026$35.1M-20%
Q1 2026$55.3M-44%
Q4 2025$60.9M+22%
Q3 2025$41.9M-40%
Q2 2025$44M+262%
Q1 2025$99M+523%
Q4 2024$50M+105%

TSSI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2025 peak: $50M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

TSSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$13M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$25MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$12.6M+$12.2M
Q2 2026$3.6M-34%
Q1 2026-$15.5M-368%
Q4 2025$15.8M+$44.1M
Q1 2025$5.8M+121%
Q4 2024-$28.4M-$11.5M
Q1 2024$2.6M+$16.3M
Q4 2023-$16.9M-256%

TSSI has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

TSSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+8K shares
1 year+16%+4M shares
3 years+35%+7.6M shares
5 years+43%+9M shares
Available history+41%+8.6M shares

TSSI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TSSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.7xQ1 2024: -4.8xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -6.7xQ4 2024: -1.7xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -4.8xQ4 2025: -8.4xQ1 2026: -7.8xQ2 2026: -10.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -5.7xQ1 2024: -4.8xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -6.7xQ4 2024: -1.7xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -4.8xQ4 2025: -8.4xQ1 2026: -7.8xQ2 2026: -10.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-10.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-7.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.7xNet Cash

TSSI has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

TSSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic8.7Oversold

TSSI's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSSISector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %03535 pts below

TSSI is trading at 11x earnings, a 61% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over TSSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TSSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.0116% below
20 week MA$8.9925% below
50 week MA$10.335% below
100 week MA$12.647% below
200 week MA$7.247.5% below

TSSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7.5% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over TSSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.49$0.58-61%
2021$0.58$0.47-19%
2022$0.47$0.57+21%
2023$0.57$0.27-53%
2024$0.27$12.0+4333%
2025$12.0$7.11-41%
2026 YTD$7.11$6.70-5.8%

TSSI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +4333% in 2024 to −61% in 2020. It's down 5.8% so far in 2026.

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