AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over TSAT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
TSAT
Telesat Corporation
TSAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TSAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
TSAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
TSAT PE Valuation
TSAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over TSAT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
TSAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect TSAT's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over TSAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$17.44 | -$12.21 |
| Q1 2026 | -$8.80 | -$4.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$7.43 | -$2.95 |
| Q3 2025 | -$7.77 | -574% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.23 | -826% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -166% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.48 | -156% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.64 | -82% |
TSAT lost $17.44 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over TSAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over TSAT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $55.9M | -25% |
| Q1 2026 | $61.4M | -25% |
| Q4 2025 | $66.1M | -27% |
| Q3 2025 | $71M | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $74.6M | -30% |
| Q1 2025 | $82.1M | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $90M | -23% |
| Q3 2024 | $97.3M | -21% |
TSAT's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $56M last quarter, down 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -16% | -33 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.5% | -23 points |
| Q4 2025 | -381% | -204 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9% | -37 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -24 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | -17 points |
| Q4 2024 | -178% | -172 points |
| Q3 2024 | 43% | +0.1 points |
TSAT's operating margin was −16% last quarter, down 33 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
TSAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$165.1M | -$118.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$80.4M | -210% |
| Q4 2025 | -$49.5M | -$36.5M |
| Q3 2025 | -$29.3M | -$16.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$46.3M | -$31.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $73.2M | +82% |
| Q4 2024 | -$13M | -$10.9M |
| Q3 2024 | -$13M | -$12.5M |
TSAT has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
TSAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.6% | +240K shares |
| 1 year | -8.1% | -1.3M shares |
| 3 years | +10% | +1.4M shares |
TSAT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TSAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | 48.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 38.5x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2023 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2023 | 1.5x | Healthy |
TSAT's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
TSAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.4 | Neutral |
TSAT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSAT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TSAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
TSAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
TSAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.6 | 1.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $44.8 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $41.0 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $31.2 | 45% above |
| 200 week MA | $20.8 | 119% above |
TSAT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.
TSAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.8 | $21.3 | -35% |
| 2021 | $21.3 | $31.9 | +50% |
| 2022 | $31.9 | $6.92 | -78% |
| 2023 | $6.92 | $10.4 | +51% |
| 2024 | $10.4 | $16.4 | +57% |
| 2025 | $16.4 | $29.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.2 | $45.4 | +56% |
TSAT has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.