AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TRAK
ReposiTrak, Inc.
TRAK has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TRAK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TRAK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
TRAK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 19x | $7.35 | — |
| Cheap | 28x | $10.82 | +47% |
| Fair | 40x | $15.48 | +111% |
| Expensive | 68x | $26.63 | +262% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TRAK's PE is in its cheap range at 19x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TRAK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for TRAK to show an outlook.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
TRAK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.39 | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.37 | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.37 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.36 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.35 | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.31 | +6.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.30 | +7.1% |
TRAK has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over TRAK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
TRAK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $5.6M | -3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.9M | -0.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9M | +6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $6M | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.9M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5M | +7.1% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.4M | +7.5% |
TRAK's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $6M last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +7.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | +6.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +5.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 27% | +3.5 points |
TRAK has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
TRAK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.4M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4M | -42% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2024 | $2M | +11% |
| Q1 2024 | $2.5M | -37% |
TRAK has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
TRAK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +143K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -160K shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +215K shares |
| 5 years | -3.9% | -773K shares |
| Available history | -5.7% | -1.1M shares |
TRAK has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $549,944 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $149,985 |
| Q2 2025 | $100,019 |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $100,016 |
| Q3 2024 | — |
TRAK spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, about nine times what it spent the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TRAK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
TRAK has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
TRAK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.8 | Oversold |
TRAK's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TRAK PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TRAK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 28x | 32% below |
| PE % | 1 | 35 | 34 pts below |
TRAK is trading at 19x earnings, a 32% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over TRAK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TRAK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.48 | 1.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $8.08 | 9% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.19 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.1 | 48% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.4 | 45% below |
TRAK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over TRAK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TRAK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.86 | $5.02 | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $5.02 | $5.76 | +15% |
| 2022 | $5.76 | $5.24 | -9% |
| 2023 | $5.24 | $10.0 | +91% |
| 2024 | $10.0 | $22.0 | +120% |
| 2025 | $22.0 | $13.1 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.1 | $7.35 | -44% |
TRAK's yearly returns have swung widely, from +120% in 2024 to −40% in 2025. It's down 44% so far in 2026.