AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TENB

Tenable Holdings, Inc.

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

TENB has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TENB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TENB's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

TENB PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$41.05—
Current316x$41.05—
Cheap491x$63.83+55%
Fair697x$90.55+121%
Expensive759x$98.71+140%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TENB's PE is 316x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TENB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TENB, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TENB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TENB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$67.39
Downside-38%$25.52

Calculated from the latest close: $41.05 on Nov 12.

TENB trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

TENB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.58Q2 2024: $-0.56Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.38Q3 2025: $-0.28Q4 2025: $-0.30Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $0.05Q3 2026: $0.13Forward: $2.37
Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.58Q2 2024: $-0.56Q3 2024: $-0.51Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.38Q3 2025: $-0.28Q4 2025: $-0.30Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $0.05Q3 2026: $0.13Forward: $2.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.37+1719%
Q3 2026$0.13+$0.41
Q2 2026$0.05+$0.43
Q1 2026-$0.10+$0.28
Q4 2025-$0.30+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.28+$0.23
Q2 2025-$0.38+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.38+$0.20
Q4 2024-$0.31+$0.37

TENB has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over TENB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TENB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $221MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: $239MQ2 2025: $247MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: $262MQ2 2026: $269MQ3 2026: $276M
Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $221MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: $239MQ2 2025: $247MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: $262MQ2 2026: $269MQ3 2026: $276M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$276.4M+9.5%
Q2 2026$268.5M+8.6%
Q1 2026$262.1M+9.6%
Q4 2025$260.5M+11%
Q3 2025$252.4M+11%
Q2 2025$247.3M+12%
Q1 2025$239.1M+11%
Q4 2024$235.7M+11%

TENB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $276M last quarter, up 9.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

TENB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$69M+30%
Q2 2026$43.3M+14%
Q1 2026$85.4M+5.6%
Q4 2025$82.7M+4.9%
Q3 2025$53M-1.7%
Q2 2025$38.1M+23%
Q1 2025$80.9M+63%
Q4 2024$78.8M+107%

TENB has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

TENB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 118MQ2 2024: 119MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 122MQ4 2025: 120MQ1 2026: 118MQ2 2026: 114MQ3 2026: 116M
Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 118MQ2 2024: 119MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 121MQ3 2025: 122MQ4 2025: 120MQ1 2026: 118MQ2 2026: 114MQ3 2026: 116M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+2.2M shares
1 year-4.9%-6M shares
3 years0%+16K shares
5 years+8.5%+9.1M shares
Available history+21%+20M shares

TENB has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TENB Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -12.5xQ1 2025: -12.2xQ2 2025: -7.4xQ3 2025: -4.8xQ4 2025: -5.7xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -3.6x
Q4 2024: -12.5xQ1 2025: -12.2xQ2 2025: -7.4xQ3 2025: -4.8xQ4 2025: -5.7xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-12.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-12.5xNet Cash

TENB has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

TENB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.8Neutral
Stochastic63.5Neutral

TENB's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TENB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTENBSector medianRelative
PE316x28x1,033% above

TENB is trading at 316x earnings, a 1033% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

TENB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.00.2% above
20 week MA$37.98.4% above
50 week MA$28.743% above
100 week MA$31.033% above
200 week MA$37.210% above

TENB has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

TENB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.5$54.7+133%
2021$54.7$55.4+1.3%
2022$55.4$36.9-33%
2023$36.9$46.1+25%
2024$46.1$39.5-14%
2025$39.5$24.1-39%
2026 YTD$24.1$41.1+70%

TENB has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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