AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

SWVL

Swvl Holdings Corp.

There isn't enough reported data to score SWVL yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SWVL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Strong

SWVL's balance sheet is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

SWVL PE Valuation

SWVL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SWVL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SWVL to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and SWVL's risk to reward.

SWVL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $4.71 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and SWVL's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

SWVL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2019: $-7.44Q1 2020: $-7.23Q2 2020: $-7.02Q3 2020: $-6.22Q4 2020: $-5.42Q4 2023: $0.28Q4 2024: $-1.19Q2 2025: $-0.48
Q4 2019: $-7.44Q1 2020: $-7.23Q2 2020: $-7.02Q3 2020: $-6.22Q4 2020: $-5.42Q4 2023: $0.28Q4 2024: $-1.19Q2 2025: $-0.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024-$1.19-525%
Q4 2020-$5.42+$2.02

SWVL has the edge over AAOI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for AAOI versus down 8.3% for SWVL.

SWVL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2019: $3MQ1 2020: $4MQ2 2020: $4MQ3 2020: $5MQ4 2020: $5MQ4 2021: $38MQ4 2022: $51MQ2 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $23MQ2 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $9MQ2 2025: $10M
Q4 2019: $3MQ1 2020: $4MQ2 2020: $4MQ3 2020: $5MQ4 2020: $5MQ4 2021: $38MQ4 2022: $51MQ2 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $23MQ2 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $9MQ2 2025: $10M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2025$10.2M+26%
Q4 2024$9.1M-60%
Q2 2024$8.1M-27%
Q4 2023$22.9M-56%
Q4 2022$51.5M+34%
Q4 2021$38.3M+750%
Q4 2020$4.5M+46%
Q3 2020$4.5M+46%

SWVL's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $10M last quarter, down 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

SWVL has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 131% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

SWVL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2019: โˆ’$10MQ1 2020: โˆ’$9MQ2 2020: โˆ’$9MQ3 2020: โˆ’$6MQ4 2020: โˆ’$6MQ4 2021: โˆ’$62MQ4 2022: โˆ’$118MQ2 2023: --Q4 2023: โˆ’$9MQ2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: โˆ’$253,060
Q4 2019: โˆ’$10MQ1 2020: โˆ’$9MQ2 2020: โˆ’$9MQ3 2020: โˆ’$6MQ4 2020: โˆ’$6MQ4 2021: โˆ’$62MQ4 2022: โˆ’$118MQ2 2023: --Q4 2023: โˆ’$9MQ2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: โˆ’$253,060
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2023-$9.1M+$109.2M
Q4 2022-$118.3M-$55.8M
Q4 2021-$62.5M-$56.5M
Q4 2020-$6M+$4.1M
Q3 2020-$6M+$4.1M
Q2 2020-$9.4M+$698.5K
Q1 2020-$9.4M+$698.5K

SWVL has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$190M over the past year, against โˆ’$31M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over SWVL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SWVL Total Shares

Q4 2019: 5MQ1 2020: 5MQ2 2020: 5MQ3 2020: 7MQ4 2020: 7MQ2 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 11MQ2 2024: 9MQ2 2025: 10M
Q4 2019: 5MQ1 2020: 5MQ2 2020: 5MQ3 2020: 7MQ4 2020: 7MQ2 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 11MQ2 2024: 9MQ2 2025: 10M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+20%+1.7M shares
1 year+53%+3.5M shares

SWVL has 10M diluted shares, up 53% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SWVL Net Leverage

Q4 2021: 0.7x
Q4 2021: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20210.7xVery low

SWVL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SWVL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.4Neutral
Stochastic38.9Neutral

SWVL's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SWVL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSWVLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

SWVL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

SWVL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.9719% above
20 week MA$3.1350% above
50 week MA$2.30105% above
100 week MA$3.1948% above
200 week MA$3.5832% above

SWVL has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to โˆ’65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

SWVL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$247.8$247.0-0.3%
2022$247.0$2.88-99%
2023$2.88$1.67-42%
2024$1.67$6.50+289%
2025$6.50$1.84-72%
2026 YTD$1.84$4.71+156%

SWVL has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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