AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

SURG

SurgePays, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score SURG yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SURG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Unavailable
Strong

SURG's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

SURG PE Valuation

SURG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over SURG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SURG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SURG's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and SURG's risk to reward.

SURG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.14 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and SURG's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over SURG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SURG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.45Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $-1.14Q4 2024: $-2.39Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.54Q3 2025: $-2.19Q4 2025: $-1.80Q1 2026: $-1.93Q2 2026: $-1.52
Q3 2023: $1.45Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.14Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $-1.14Q4 2024: $-2.39Q1 2025: $-2.84Q2 2025: $-2.54Q3 2025: $-2.19Q4 2025: $-1.80Q1 2026: $-1.93Q2 2026: $-1.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.52+$1.02
Q1 2026-$1.93+$0.91
Q4 2025-$1.80+$0.59
Q3 2025-$2.19-$1.05
Q2 2025-$2.54-3275%
Q1 2025-$2.84-349%
Q4 2024-$2.39-273%
Q3 2024-$1.14-179%

SURG is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.52 per share over the past year, against $5.50 at its worst in early 2021.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over SURG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SURG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $34MQ4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $16M
Q3 2023: $34MQ4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $16M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$16.2M+41%
Q1 2026$16M+51%
Q4 2025$16.2M+69%
Q3 2025$18.7M+292%
Q2 2025$11.5M-24%
Q1 2025$10.6M-66%
Q4 2024$9.6M-70%
Q3 2024$4.8M-86%

SURG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $16M last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

SURG has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 63% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

SURG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: โˆ’$4MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: โˆ’$7MQ2 2025: โˆ’$6MQ3 2025: โˆ’$5MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: โˆ’$5MQ2 2026: โˆ’$3M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: โˆ’$4MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: โˆ’$7MQ2 2025: โˆ’$6MQ3 2025: โˆ’$5MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: โˆ’$5MQ2 2026: โˆ’$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$2.6M+$3.5M
Q1 2026-$4.6M+$2.4M
Q3 2025-$4.6M+$8.7M
Q2 2025-$6.1M-$2M
Q1 2025-$7M-272%
Q4 2022$4.7M+$12.9M
Q3 2022-$801.2K+$1.5M
Q2 2022$175.5K+$1.6M

SURG has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$18M over the past year, against โˆ’$20M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

SURG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 26M
Q3 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.4%+2.2M shares
1 year+29%+5.9M shares
3 years+109%+13.5M shares
5 years+1122%+23.8M shares

SURG has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SURG Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -2.2x
Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2024-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2023-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 20230.0xVery low
Q1 2023-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20220.4xVery low

SURG has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SURG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.5Neutral
Stochastic13.7Oversold

SURG's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SURG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSURGSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

SURG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

SURG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.140% above
20 week MA$0.2133% below
50 week MA$0.6578% below
100 week MA$1.5091% below
200 week MA$3.0295% below

SURG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 95% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over SURG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SURG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.8$6.00-59%
2021$6.00$2.31-62%
2022$2.31$6.29+172%
2023$6.29$6.45+2.5%
2024$6.45$1.83-72%
2025$1.83$1.68-8.2%
2026 YTD$1.68$0.14-92%

SURG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +172% in 2022 to โˆ’72% in 2024. It's down 92% so far in 2026.

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