AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over SSTI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SSTI
SoundThinking, Inc.
SSTI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SSTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SSTI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
SSTI PE Valuation
SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SSTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SSTI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over SSTI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SSTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.77 | -$0.93 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.29 | -$0.50 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.16 | -$0.55 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.74 | -$0.02 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.84 | -$0.74 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.79 | -$0.65 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.61 | -$0.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.72 | -$0.50 |
SSTI lost $1.77 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over SSTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over SSTI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SSTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.9M | -7.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.2M | -15% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.8M | +5.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.1M | -4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.9M | -4% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.4M | -10% |
SSTI's revenue is shrinking: $25M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -33% | -25 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | -8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | -24 points |
| Q4 2025 | -10% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -8.2% | -4.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.3% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -16% | -33 points |
SSTI's operating margin was −33% last quarter, down 25 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
SSTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1M | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.1M | -$5.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5M | -$474K |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7M | +$5.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $4.9M | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7M | -194% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1M | -137% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.2M | -$1.8M |
SSTI has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
SSTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +80.9K shares |
| 1 year | +3.3% | +427K shares |
| 3 years | +5.7% | +707K shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +1.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +1.3M shares |
SSTI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $2M |
| Q2 2025 | $470,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $504,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $1,000 |
SSTI hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SSTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -10.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
SSTI has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
SSTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.8 | Overbought |
SSTI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SSTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SSTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
SSTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.98 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.50 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.37 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.3 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.2 | 46% below |
SSTI has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over SSTI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SSTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.3 | $38.5 | +52% |
| 2021 | $38.5 | $30.6 | -20% |
| 2022 | $30.6 | $33.3 | +8.6% |
| 2023 | $33.3 | $25.5 | -23% |
| 2024 | $25.5 | $12.8 | -50% |
| 2025 | $12.8 | $8.05 | -37% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.05 | $8.25 | +2.5% |
SSTI has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 2.5% so far in 2026.