AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over SRAD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG
SRAD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SRAD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SRAD's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
SRAD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 61x | $3.69 | -71% |
| Fair | 113x | $6.76 | -48% |
| Expensive | 209x | $12.53 | -2.9% |
| Current | 231x | $12.91 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SRAD's PE is 231x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SRAD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SRAD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
SRAD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.06 | -84% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.24 | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.34 | +183% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.32 | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.38 | +375% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.21 | +133% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.12 | +9.1% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.21 | +$0.30 |
SRAD has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over SRAD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
SRAD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $426.7M | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $391.3M | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $406M | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $324.4M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $353M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $345.7M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $341.1M | +22% |
| Q3 2024 | $283.5M | +27% |
SRAD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $427M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.3% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.1% | -5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 16% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.8% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.4% | -5.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +7 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | +15 points |
SRAD has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
SRAD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $127.2M | +112% |
| Q1 2026 | $51.1M | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.8M | +$24.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $126.7M | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $60.1M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $37.7M | +1626% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.5M | -185% |
| Q3 2024 | $71M | +178% |
SRAD has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
SRAD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -4.2M shares |
| 1 year | -8.3% | -26.5M shares |
| 3 years | -5.3% | -16.5M shares |
| 5 years | -0.8% | -2.3M shares |
| Available history | -0.8% | -2.4M shares |
SRAD has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $141.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $101.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $26.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $69.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.9M |
| Q3 2024 | $8.7M |
SRAD spent $272M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 155% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SRAD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
SRAD has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
SRAD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.9 | Neutral |
SRAD's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SRAD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SRAD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 231x | 28x | 728% above |
| PE % | 87 | 45 | 42 pts above |
SRAD is trading at 231x earnings, a 728% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
SRAD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.5 | 3.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $13.2 | 2.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.7 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.1 | 36% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
SRAD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 19% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over SRAD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SRAD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $27.0 | $18.6 | -31% |
| 2022 | $18.6 | $9.44 | -49% |
| 2023 | $9.44 | $11.1 | +17% |
| 2024 | $11.1 | $17.4 | +58% |
| 2025 | $17.4 | $23.1 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $23.1 | $12.9 | -44% |
SRAD is down 44% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in three of the previous five years.