AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over SQNS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SQNS

Sequans Communications S.A.

36
Fundamentals13/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

SQNS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SQNS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Stable

SQNS's balance sheet is currently stable, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

SQNS PE Valuation

SQNS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over SQNS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SQNS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect SQNS's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SQNS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SQNS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$3.90
Downside-37%$1.54

Calculated from the latest close: $2.44 on Nov 12.

SQNS trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

SQNS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.34Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-2.01Q2 2024: $-1.63Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $2.51Q2 2025: $2.17Q3 2025: $-1.21Q4 2025: $-7.43Q1 2026: $-11.04Q2 2026: $-11.33
Q3 2023: $-1.34Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-2.01Q2 2024: $-1.63Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $2.51Q2 2025: $2.17Q3 2025: $-1.21Q4 2025: $-7.43Q1 2026: $-11.04Q2 2026: $-11.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$11.33-622%
Q1 2026-$11.04-540%
Q4 2025-$7.43-420%
Q3 2025-$1.21-172%
Q2 2025$2.17+$3.80
Q1 2025$2.51+$4.52
Q4 2024$2.32+$4.11
Q3 2024$1.69+$3.03

SQNS has swung to a loss: it lost $11.33 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over SQNS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SQNS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7M
Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$7.5M-8.4%
Q1 2026$6.1M-25%
Q4 2025$7M-37%
Q3 2025$4.3M-57%
Q2 2025$8.1M-16%
Q1 2025$8.1M+34%
Q4 2024$11M+131%
Q3 2024$10.1M+29%

SQNS's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $7M last quarter, down 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

SQNS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$6MQ4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: −$10M
Q3 2023: −$6MQ4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$9.8M-$7.3M
Q1 2026-$16.1M-$6.2M
Q4 2025-$2.2M+$27.6M
Q3 2025-$14.9M-$11.6M
Q2 2025-$2.4M-131%
Q1 2025-$9.8M+$4.1M
Q4 2024-$29.8M-$18.2M
Q3 2024-$3.3M+$2.6M

SQNS has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

SQNS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 23MQ4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15M
Q3 2023: 23MQ4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.5%+1M shares
1 year-41%-10.4M shares
3 years-34%-7.9M shares
5 years+0.9%+136K shares
Available history+58%+5.5M shares

SQNS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SQNS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 11.5xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 1.6x
Q3 2023: 11.5xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20240.0xVery low
Q3 2024-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 202311.5xHigh
Q2 20234.5xHigh
Q1 20233.1xElevated

SQNS's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SQNS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.3Neutral
Stochastic25.3Neutral

SQNS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SQNS PE vs Technology Sector

SQNS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over SQNS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SQNS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.616.5% below
20 week MA$2.7712% below
50 week MA$3.4229% below
100 week MA$11.078% below
200 week MA$28.391% below

SQNS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 91% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over SQNS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SQNS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$75.0$157.3+110%
2021$157.3$120.0-24%
2022$120.0$72.0-40%
2023$72.0$70.8-1.7%
2024$70.8$33.9-52%
2025$33.9$4.76-86%
2026 YTD$4.76$2.44-49%

SQNS has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 49% so far in 2026.

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