AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SPT
Sprout Social, Inc.
SPT has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SPT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable |
SPT's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
SPT PE Valuation
SPT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over SPT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SPT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SPT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
SPT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.57 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.45 | +$0.36 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.50 | +$0.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.66 | +$0.38 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.74 | +$0.35 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.81 | +$0.38 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.95 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.04 | +$0.20 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.09 | +$0.10 |
SPT has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over SPT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over SPT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SPT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.1M | +8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $123.8M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $121.5M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $120.9M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $115.6M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $111.8M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $109.3M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $107.1M | +14% |
SPT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $125M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.5% | +2.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.2% | +8.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.8% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.9% | +3.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -7.9% | +8.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11% | +5.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -10% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -13% | +6.7 points |
SPT's operating margin was −5.5% last quarter, up 2.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
SPT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.2M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8M | +88% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.1M | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.9M | +204% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.5M | +0.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2M | +166% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.7M | +66% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3M | +$6.5M |
SPT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
SPT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -576K shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +736K shares |
| 3 years | +6.9% | +3.8M shares |
| 5 years | +11% | +5.8M shares |
| Available history | +157% | +36.5M shares |
SPT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | $8.1M |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SPT Net Leverage
SPT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
SPT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.1 | Neutral |
SPT's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SPT PE vs Technology Sector
SPT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
SPT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.2 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $10.2 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $8.71 | 32% above |
| 100 week MA | $14.6 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $30.6 | 62% below |
SPT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over SPT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SPT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $16.6 | $16.1 | -2.9% |
| 2020 | $16.1 | $50.0 | +210% |
| 2021 | $50.0 | $94.7 | +89% |
| 2022 | $94.7 | $56.0 | -41% |
| 2023 | $56.0 | $61.4 | +9.8% |
| 2024 | $61.4 | $31.4 | -49% |
| 2025 | $31.4 | $11.1 | -65% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.1 | $11.5 | +3.9% |
SPT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +210% in 2020 to −65% in 2025. It's up 3.9% so far in 2026.