AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over SOTK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

SOTK

Sono-Tek Corporation

48
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential27/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

SOTK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SOTK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SOTK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

SOTK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x143x215x286x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x143x215x286x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current36x$4.33—
Cheap38x$4.61+6.4%
Fair48x$5.82+34%
Forward51x$4.33—
Expensive71x$8.51+97%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOTK's PE is in its cheap range at 36x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 51x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over SOTK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

SOTK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect SOTK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SOTK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOTK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$5.03
Downside-43%$2.48

Calculated from the latest close: $4.33 on Nov 12.

SOTK trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

SOTK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.11Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.10Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.13Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.08
Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.11Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.10Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.13Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08-29%
Q3 2026$0.12+20%
Q2 2026$0.13+44%
Q1 2026$0.11+38%
Q4 2025$0.10+25%
Q3 2025$0.100%
Q2 2025$0.09-18%
Q1 2025$0.08-11%
Q4 2024$0.08+14%

SOTK has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over SOTK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOTK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.2M+1.3%
Q2 2026$5.7M+10%
Q1 2026$5.6M+9.5%
Q4 2025$5M-3.6%
Q3 2025$5.2M0%
Q2 2025$5.1M+2%
Q1 2025$5.1M+7.4%
Q4 2024$5.2M-8.8%

SOTK's revenue is growing: $5M last quarter, up 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

SOTK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $254,796Q1 2024: −$746,567Q2 2024: $294,992Q3 2024: −$576,093Q4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$740,044Q2 2025: −$974,542Q3 2025: −$237,343Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $254,796Q1 2024: −$746,567Q2 2024: $294,992Q3 2024: −$576,093Q4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$740,044Q2 2025: −$974,542Q3 2025: −$237,343Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1M+$1.4M
Q2 2026$1.9M+$2.8M
Q1 2026$3.1M+$3.8M
Q4 2025$1.1M+5.9%
Q3 2025-$237.3K+$338.8K
Q2 2025-$974.5K-430%
Q1 2025-$740K+$6.5K
Q4 2024$1.1M+323%

SOTK has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

SOTK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+68.8K shares
1 year+0.5%+74.5K shares
3 years+0.2%+32.5K shares
5 years+1.3%+204K shares
Available history+2.8%+434K shares

SOTK has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SOTK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -3.1xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -3.0xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -3.1xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -3.0xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-3.1xNet Cash

SOTK has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SOTK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic8.7Oversold

SOTK's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SOTK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSOTKSector medianRelative
PE36x28x30% above
PE %83527 pts below

SOTK is trading at 36x earnings, a 30% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

SOTK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.3920% below
20 week MA$5.2417% below
50 week MA$4.738.5% below
100 week MA$4.300.7% above
200 week MA$4.616.1% below

SOTK's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 6.1% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over SOTK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOTK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.25$4.20+87%
2021$4.20$6.77+61%
2022$6.77$6.41-5.3%
2023$6.41$5.41-16%
2024$5.41$4.30-21%
2025$4.30$4.06-5.6%
2026 YTD$4.06$4.33+6.7%

SOTK has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 6.7% so far in 2026.

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