AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SONY
Sony Group Corporation
SONY has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SONY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
SONY's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
SONY PE Valuation
SONY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over SONY on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
SONY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SONY's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
SONY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.23 | -119% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.35 | -130% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.23 | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.21 | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.19 | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.18 | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.17 | +26% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.15 | +29% |
SONY has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over SONY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
SONY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $17.8B | +8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $19B | +8.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.3B | +0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.5B | +4.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.4B | +2.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.6B | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.2B | -1.4% |
| Q3 2024 | $18.6B | +5% |
SONY's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $17.8B last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.4% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2024 | 13% | +4 points |
SONY has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
SONY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $643M | +$911M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B | -34% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.9B | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | -46% |
| Q2 2025 | -$268.1M | +$1.8B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B | +119% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5B | +30% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.4B | +$3.7B |
SONY has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
SONY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -120M shares |
| 1 year | -3.2% | -197M shares |
| 3 years | -5% | -310M shares |
| 5 years | -5.1% | -321M shares |
| Available history | -8.7% | -565M shares |
SONY has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $799M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $520.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $789.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $585.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $175.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $347.9M |
| Q3 2024 | $945.5M |
SONY spent $3.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 70% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SONY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
SONY has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
SONY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.4 | Neutral |
SONY's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SONY PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SONY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SONY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
SONY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.2 | 5.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $23.8 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $23.0 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.3 | 9.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $21.1 | 26% above |
SONY has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over SONY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SONY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.6 | $19.4 | +43% |
| 2021 | $19.4 | $24.8 | +28% |
| 2022 | $24.8 | $15.4 | -38% |
| 2023 | $15.4 | $18.9 | +23% |
| 2024 | $18.9 | $21.5 | +13% |
| 2025 | $21.5 | $25.8 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $25.8 | $26.7 | +3.3% |
SONY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 3.3% so far in 2026.